Trump's prolific Truth Social activity, averaging multiple posts daily, anchors trader consensus for this week's content, with markets pricing high probabilities on attacks against legal adversaries like Judge Merchan or DA Bragg amid his hush money trial delays and ongoing appeals. Recent catalysts include his March 11 Supreme Court win blocking Illinois ballot removal and escalating rhetoric on election integrity post-Super Tuesday dominance. Traders weigh patterns from past weeks—frequent jabs at Biden/Harris (over 40% of posts) and campaign boasts—against quieter periods during golf or depositions. No major events scheduled March 16-22, but RNC-related announcements could shift focus, underscoring the "wisdom of crowds" in volatile posting bets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$90,907 Vol.
Ass
7%
Lawsuit
28%
Illinois
6%
Epic Fury
23%
Oscar / Oscars
11%
Hillary / Clinton
6%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
26%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
6%
Filibuster
22%
Stupid
4%
Death to America
7%
Claude / Anthropic
3%
Hamas / Hezbollah
13%
Too Big to Rig
17%
Democrat Shutdown
37%
Mamdani
5%
Texas
100%
Son
16%
Cornyn
5%
Jake Paul
3%
$90,907 Vol.
Ass
7%
Lawsuit
28%
Illinois
6%
Epic Fury
23%
Oscar / Oscars
11%
Hillary / Clinton
6%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
26%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
6%
Filibuster
22%
Stupid
4%
Death to America
7%
Claude / Anthropic
3%
Hamas / Hezbollah
13%
Too Big to Rig
17%
Democrat Shutdown
37%
Mamdani
5%
Texas
100%
Son
16%
Cornyn
5%
Jake Paul
3%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Note: "Mutilization" must be written verbatim in order to qualify, any additional riffs on spelling or grammatical variations will not be considered, nor will the proper word "Mutilation". Differences in capitalization will qualify.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 13, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's prolific Truth Social activity, averaging multiple posts daily, anchors trader consensus for this week's content, with markets pricing high probabilities on attacks against legal adversaries like Judge Merchan or DA Bragg amid his hush money trial delays and ongoing appeals. Recent catalysts include his March 11 Supreme Court win blocking Illinois ballot removal and escalating rhetoric on election integrity post-Super Tuesday dominance. Traders weigh patterns from past weeks—frequent jabs at Biden/Harris (over 40% of posts) and campaign boasts—against quieter periods during golf or depositions. No major events scheduled March 16-22, but RNC-related announcements could shift focus, underscoring the "wisdom of crowds" in volatile posting bets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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