Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's consistent Truth Social posting patterns, heavily favoring attacks on legal cases and political opponents amid his 2024 campaign momentum post-Super Tuesday wins. Recent catalysts include a March 25 New York civil fraud bond reduction to $175 million, which Trump hailed as a victory, and ongoing hush money trial scheduling for late spring, amplifying "witch hunt" rhetoric. Primary sentiment drivers are his daily barrages criticizing Joe Biden, election integrity, and immigration, with lower odds on policy details like economy or foreign affairs. Upcoming events, including potential Republican National Committee meetings and primary wrap-ups, could spur delegate boasts or fundraising appeals, though markets acknowledge his unpredictable style amid rapid news cycles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$116,131 Vol.
Donald Trump
Yes
RINO
Yes
Ass
No
Lawsuit
No
Illinois
No
Mutilization
Yes
Ayatollah / Khamenei
Yes
Chairman
Yes
Epic Fury
No
Oscar / Oscars
No
Hillary / Clinton
No
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
No
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
No
Filibuster
Yes
Peace Through Strength
Yes
Stupid
No
Death to America
No
Claude / Anthropic
No
Strait of Hormuz
Yes
Hamas / Hezbollah
No
Too Big to Rig
No
Democrat Shutdown
No
Mamdani
No
Texas
Yes
Son
No
Cornyn
No
Venezuela
Yes
Terrorist
Yes
Hormuz
Yes
Jake Paul
No
$116,131 Vol.
Donald Trump
Yes
RINO
Yes
Ass
No
Lawsuit
No
Illinois
No
Mutilization
Yes
Ayatollah / Khamenei
Yes
Chairman
Yes
Epic Fury
No
Oscar / Oscars
No
Hillary / Clinton
No
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
No
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
No
Filibuster
Yes
Peace Through Strength
Yes
Stupid
No
Death to America
No
Claude / Anthropic
No
Strait of Hormuz
Yes
Hamas / Hezbollah
No
Too Big to Rig
No
Democrat Shutdown
No
Mamdani
No
Texas
Yes
Son
No
Cornyn
No
Venezuela
Yes
Terrorist
Yes
Hormuz
Yes
Jake Paul
No
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Note: "Mutilization" must be written verbatim in order to qualify, any additional riffs on spelling or grammatical variations will not be considered, nor will the proper word "Mutilation". Differences in capitalization will qualify.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 13, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's consistent Truth Social posting patterns, heavily favoring attacks on legal cases and political opponents amid his 2024 campaign momentum post-Super Tuesday wins. Recent catalysts include a March 25 New York civil fraud bond reduction to $175 million, which Trump hailed as a victory, and ongoing hush money trial scheduling for late spring, amplifying "witch hunt" rhetoric. Primary sentiment drivers are his daily barrages criticizing Joe Biden, election integrity, and immigration, with lower odds on policy details like economy or foreign affairs. Upcoming events, including potential Republican National Committee meetings and primary wrap-ups, could spur delegate boasts or fundraising appeals, though markets acknowledge his unpredictable style amid rapid news cycles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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