The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% after its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, balancing solid GDP growth projections of 2.4% against softening labor conditions, including February's unexpected -92,000 nonfarm payroll decline and unemployment rising to 4.4%. Inflation remains contained at 2.4% CPI YoY but core PCE at 3.1%, with geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict curbing aggressive easing. CME FedWatch Tool reflects trader consensus with over 94% implied probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, pricing one 25 basis point cut later in 2026. Traders eye upcoming April nonfarm payrolls, CPI data, and FOMC for shifts in the rate path before 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWas wird der Leitzins vor 2027 erreichen?
Was wird der Leitzins vor 2027 erreichen?
$1,272,744 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
↑ 5,5 %
4%
↑ 5,25 %
5%
↑ 5,0 %
3%
↑ 4,75 %
4%
↑ 4,5 %
5%
↑ 4,25 %
9%
↓ 3,25 %
77%
↓ 3,0 %
34%
↓ 2,75 %
18%
↓ 2,5 %
20%
↓ 2,25 %
11%
↓ 2,0 %
11%
↓ 1,75 %
9%
↓ 1,5 %
9%
↓ 1,25 %
26%
↓ 1,0 %
9%
↓ 0,75 %
9%
↓ 0,5 %
6%
↓ 0,25 %
6%
↓ 0 %
7%
$1,272,744 Vol.
↑ 5,5 %
$42,444 Vol.
4%
↑ 5,25 %
$136,128 Vol.
5%
↑ 5,0 %
$10,015 Vol.
3%
↑ 4,75 %
$65,847 Vol.
4%
↑ 4,5 %
$10,285 Vol.
5%
↑ 4,25 %
$21,882 Vol.
9%
↓ 3,25 %
$53,318 Vol.
77%
↓ 3,0 %
$215,790 Vol.
34%
↓ 2,75 %
$250,422 Vol.
18%
↓ 2,5 %
$171,900 Vol.
20%
↓ 2,25 %
$21,904 Vol.
11%
↓ 2,0 %
$15,041 Vol.
11%
↓ 1,75 %
$5,943 Vol.
9%
↓ 1,5 %
$24,836 Vol.
9%
↓ 1,25 %
$893 Vol.
26%
↓ 1,0 %
$0 Vol.
9%
↓ 0,75 %
$388 Vol.
9%
↓ 0,5 %
$89,265 Vol.
6%
↓ 0,25 %
$117,253 Vol.
6%
↓ 0 %
$10,187 Vol.
7%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% after its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, balancing solid GDP growth projections of 2.4% against softening labor conditions, including February's unexpected -92,000 nonfarm payroll decline and unemployment rising to 4.4%. Inflation remains contained at 2.4% CPI YoY but core PCE at 3.1%, with geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict curbing aggressive easing. CME FedWatch Tool reflects trader consensus with over 94% implied probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, pricing one 25 basis point cut later in 2026. Traders eye upcoming April nonfarm payrolls, CPI data, and FOMC for shifts in the rate path before 2027.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
Volumen
$1,272,744Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% after its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, balancing solid GDP growth projections of 2.4% against softening labor conditions, including February's unexpected -92,000 nonfarm payroll decline and unemployment rising to 4.4%. Inflation remains contained at 2.4% CPI YoY but core PCE at 3.1%, with geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict curbing aggressive easing. CME FedWatch Tool reflects trader consensus with over 94% implied probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, pricing one 25 basis point cut later in 2026. Traders eye upcoming April nonfarm payrolls, CPI data, and FOMC for shifts in the rate path before 2027.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volumen
$1,272,744Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% after its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, balancing solid GDP growth projections of 2.4% against softening labor conditions, including February's unexpected -92,000 nonfarm payroll decline and unemployment rising to 4.4%. Inflation remains contained at 2.4% CPI YoY but core PCE at 3.1%, with geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict curbing aggressive easing. CME FedWatch Tool reflects trader consensus with over 94% implied probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, pricing one 25 basis point cut later in 2026. Traders eye upcoming April nonfarm payrolls, CPI data, and FOMC for shifts in the rate path before 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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