The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its March 17-18, 2026 meeting, the second consecutive pause, as core PCE inflation lingers near 3.1% despite headline CPI steady at 2.4% year-over-year in February. The dot plot reveals a split FOMC, with median projections for one 25-basis-point cut by end-2026 to around 3.4%, tempered by resilient economic growth but softening labor data—February nonfarm payrolls fell 92,000, lifting unemployment to 4.4%. CME FedWatch implies 95% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with muted easing prospects through 2027 amid oil price spikes. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and April jobs report.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWas wird der Leitzins vor 2027 erreichen?
Was wird der Leitzins vor 2027 erreichen?
$1,272,594 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
↑ 5,5 %
4%
↑ 5,25 %
5%
↑ 5,0 %
3%
↑ 4,75 %
4%
↑ 4,5 %
5%
↑ 4,25 %
9%
↓ 3,25 %
70%
↓ 3,0 %
33%
↓ 2,75 %
18%
↓ 2,5 %
20%
↓ 2,25 %
11%
↓ 2,0 %
11%
↓ 1,75 %
9%
↓ 1,5 %
9%
↓ 1,25 %
26%
↓ 1,0 %
9%
↓ 0,75 %
9%
↓ 0,5 %
6%
↓ 0,25 %
6%
↓ 0 %
7%
$1,272,594 Vol.
↑ 5,5 %
$42,444 Vol.
4%
↑ 5,25 %
$136,128 Vol.
5%
↑ 5,0 %
$10,015 Vol.
3%
↑ 4,75 %
$65,827 Vol.
4%
↑ 4,5 %
$10,285 Vol.
5%
↑ 4,25 %
$21,882 Vol.
9%
↓ 3,25 %
$53,238 Vol.
70%
↓ 3,0 %
$215,780 Vol.
33%
↓ 2,75 %
$250,402 Vol.
18%
↓ 2,5 %
$171,900 Vol.
20%
↓ 2,25 %
$21,904 Vol.
11%
↓ 2,0 %
$15,041 Vol.
11%
↓ 1,75 %
$5,943 Vol.
9%
↓ 1,5 %
$24,836 Vol.
9%
↓ 1,25 %
$893 Vol.
26%
↓ 1,0 %
$0 Vol.
9%
↓ 0,75 %
$388 Vol.
9%
↓ 0,5 %
$89,265 Vol.
6%
↓ 0,25 %
$117,253 Vol.
6%
↓ 0 %
$10,187 Vol.
7%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its March 17-18, 2026 meeting, the second consecutive pause, as core PCE inflation lingers near 3.1% despite headline CPI steady at 2.4% year-over-year in February. The dot plot reveals a split FOMC, with median projections for one 25-basis-point cut by end-2026 to around 3.4%, tempered by resilient economic growth but softening labor data—February nonfarm payrolls fell 92,000, lifting unemployment to 4.4%. CME FedWatch implies 95% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with muted easing prospects through 2027 amid oil price spikes. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and April jobs report.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
Volumen
$1,272,594Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its March 17-18, 2026 meeting, the second consecutive pause, as core PCE inflation lingers near 3.1% despite headline CPI steady at 2.4% year-over-year in February. The dot plot reveals a split FOMC, with median projections for one 25-basis-point cut by end-2026 to around 3.4%, tempered by resilient economic growth but softening labor data—February nonfarm payrolls fell 92,000, lifting unemployment to 4.4%. CME FedWatch implies 95% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with muted easing prospects through 2027 amid oil price spikes. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and April jobs report.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volumen
$1,272,594Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its March 17-18, 2026 meeting, the second consecutive pause, as core PCE inflation lingers near 3.1% despite headline CPI steady at 2.4% year-over-year in February. The dot plot reveals a split FOMC, with median projections for one 25-basis-point cut by end-2026 to around 3.4%, tempered by resilient economic growth but softening labor data—February nonfarm payrolls fell 92,000, lifting unemployment to 4.4%. CME FedWatch implies 95% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with muted easing prospects through 2027 amid oil price spikes. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and April jobs report.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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