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Venezuela opposition leader Machado released by Monday?

Market icon

Venezuela opposition leader Machado released by Monday?

99% chance
Polymarket

$20,651 Vol.

99% chance
Polymarket

$20,651 Vol.

On January 9, Maria Corina Machado was arrested while leaving a protest march, according to local media and party officials (see: https://www.dw.com/en/venezuela-opposition-leader-machado-arrested/a-71260151).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maria Corina Machado is released from custody by January 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Machado is released from custody by the resolution date but remains in house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

If Machado is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes."

Transporting Machado to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$20,651
Enddatum
Jan 13, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jan 9, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
On January 9, Maria Corina Machado was arrested while leaving a protest march, according to local media and party officials (see: https://www.dw.com/en/venezuela-opposition-leader-machado-arrested/a-71260151). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maria Corina Machado is released from custody by January 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Machado is released from custody by the resolution date but remains in house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes". If Machado is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes." Transporting Machado to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

On January 9, Maria Corina Machado was arrested while leaving a protest march, according to local media and party officials (see: https://www.dw.com/en/venezuela-opposition-leader-machado-arrested/a-71260151).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maria Corina Machado is released from custody by January 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Machado is released from custody by the resolution date but remains in house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

If Machado is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes."

Transporting Machado to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$20,651
Enddatum
Jan 13, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jan 9, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
On January 9, Maria Corina Machado was arrested while leaving a protest march, according to local media and party officials (see: https://www.dw.com/en/venezuela-opposition-leader-machado-arrested/a-71260151). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maria Corina Machado is released from custody by January 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Machado is released from custody by the resolution date but remains in house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes". If Machado is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes." Transporting Machado to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Venezuela opposition leader Machado released by Monday? " is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Venezuela opposition leader Machado released by Monday? " has generated $20.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Venezuela opposition leader Machado released by Monday? ," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Venezuela opposition leader Machado released by Monday? " is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Venezuela opposition leader Machado released by Monday? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.