Utah's 3rd Congressional District, rated R+13 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and historically delivering GOP landslides—such as John Curtis's 71% win in 2020—sees trader consensus at 85.5% for the Republican Party following state Sen. Mike Kennedy's dominant June primary victory. Kennedy, a conservative physician and former House candidate, leads Democrat Stewart Jones by 30+ points in the latest September polls from RMNO and others, reflecting the district's conservative base around Provo and Brigham Young University. No major local developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning, though national headwinds like the presidential race could influence turnout; the market resolves post-November 5 general election vote certification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertUT-03 Wahlsieger
UT-03 Wahlsieger
Republikanische Partei
80%
Demokratische Partei
16%
Republikanische Partei
80%
Demokratische Partei
16%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 3rd Congressional District, rated R+13 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and historically delivering GOP landslides—such as John Curtis's 71% win in 2020—sees trader consensus at 85.5% for the Republican Party following state Sen. Mike Kennedy's dominant June primary victory. Kennedy, a conservative physician and former House candidate, leads Democrat Stewart Jones by 30+ points in the latest September polls from RMNO and others, reflecting the district's conservative base around Provo and Brigham Young University. No major local developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning, though national headwinds like the presidential race could influence turnout; the market resolves post-November 5 general election vote certification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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