Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the UT-01 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting his name recognition from prior congressional service, superior fundraising—topping recent quarterly reports—and a March Data for Progress poll showing him ahead 36%-23% on the initial ballot among likely voters. State Sen. Nate Blouin's 22% implied probability stems from progressive endorsements, including from Sen. Bernie Sanders, and gains to 40% on the poll's informed ballot, highlighting ideological tensions between moderates and progressives in the newly blue district. Recent escalations include mutual attacks over corporate PAC donations and a conservative super PAC's $611,000 ad buy backing McAdams, plus resurfaced old social media posts drawing scrutiny to Blouin in the past week, bolstering McAdams' edge ahead of caucus and convention dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBen McAdams 74%
Nate Blouin 22%
Kathleen Riebe 1.0%
Brian King <1%
$25,095 Vol.
$25,095 Vol.
Ben McAdams
74%
Nate Blouin
22%
Kathleen Riebe
1%
Brian King
1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Ben McAdams 74%
Nate Blouin 22%
Kathleen Riebe 1.0%
Brian King <1%
$25,095 Vol.
$25,095 Vol.
Ben McAdams
74%
Nate Blouin
22%
Kathleen Riebe
1%
Brian King
1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the UT-01 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting his name recognition from prior congressional service, superior fundraising—topping recent quarterly reports—and a March Data for Progress poll showing him ahead 36%-23% on the initial ballot among likely voters. State Sen. Nate Blouin's 22% implied probability stems from progressive endorsements, including from Sen. Bernie Sanders, and gains to 40% on the poll's informed ballot, highlighting ideological tensions between moderates and progressives in the newly blue district. Recent escalations include mutual attacks over corporate PAC donations and a conservative super PAC's $611,000 ad buy backing McAdams, plus resurfaced old social media posts drawing scrutiny to Blouin in the past week, bolstering McAdams' edge ahead of caucus and convention dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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