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Die USA schlagen den Iran mit...?

$134,436,365 Umsatz

Jan 31, 2026

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$134,436,365
Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026
Erstellt am
Jan 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorsicht vor externen Links.

Market icon

Die USA schlagen den Iran mit...?

$134,436,365 Umsatz

31. Januar

$35,676,351 Umsatz

11%

1. Februar

$972,402 Umsatz

16%

2. Februar

$297,924 Umsatz

18%

3. Februar

$72,945 Umsatz

19%

4. Februar

$69,284 Umsatz

20%

5. Februar

$106,973 Umsatz

22%

6. Februar

$1,644,365 Umsatz

27%

13. Februar

$1,144,033 Umsatz

48%

28. Februar

$4,468,423 Umsatz

62%

31. März

$4,329,646 Umsatz

69%

30. Juni

$2,338,784 Umsatz

73%

Über

Volumen
$134,436,365
Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026
Erstellt am
Jan 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Vorsicht vor externen Links.