Trader consensus prices "No" at 73% for U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027, driven by the Trump administration's Gaza peace plan enforcing a ceasefire since late 2025, with phase two focused on Hamas disarmament and technocratic governance via the UN-authorized International Stabilization Force (ISF)—a multinational effort excluding direct U.S. combat troops, per repeated CENTCOM statements. Recent U.S. deployments of over 50,000 troops to the Middle East, including Marines and paratroopers announced March 25-29 amid Iranian missile attacks on regional bases, target Iran deterrence and Strait of Hormuz security rather than Gaza entry. Planned U.S. support bases near Gaza remain outside its borders, underscoring policy limits on ground involvement despite ISF leadership by a U.S. general; escalation risks or stalled disarmament talks could shift odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertUS-Streitkräfte in Gaza vor 2027?
US-Streitkräfte in Gaza vor 2027?
Ja
$37,860 Vol.
$37,860 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$37,860 Vol.
$37,860 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 73% for U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027, driven by the Trump administration's Gaza peace plan enforcing a ceasefire since late 2025, with phase two focused on Hamas disarmament and technocratic governance via the UN-authorized International Stabilization Force (ISF)—a multinational effort excluding direct U.S. combat troops, per repeated CENTCOM statements. Recent U.S. deployments of over 50,000 troops to the Middle East, including Marines and paratroopers announced March 25-29 amid Iranian missile attacks on regional bases, target Iran deterrence and Strait of Hormuz security rather than Gaza entry. Planned U.S. support bases near Gaza remain outside its borders, underscoring policy limits on ground involvement despite ISF leadership by a U.S. general; escalation risks or stalled disarmament talks could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
Volumen
$37,860Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 73% for U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027, driven by the Trump administration's Gaza peace plan enforcing a ceasefire since late 2025, with phase two focused on Hamas disarmament and technocratic governance via the UN-authorized International Stabilization Force (ISF)—a multinational effort excluding direct U.S. combat troops, per repeated CENTCOM statements. Recent U.S. deployments of over 50,000 troops to the Middle East, including Marines and paratroopers announced March 25-29 amid Iranian missile attacks on regional bases, target Iran deterrence and Strait of Hormuz security rather than Gaza entry. Planned U.S. support bases near Gaza remain outside its borders, underscoring policy limits on ground involvement despite ISF leadership by a U.S. general; escalation risks or stalled disarmament talks could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$37,860Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 73% for U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027, driven by the Trump administration's Gaza peace plan enforcing a ceasefire since late 2025, with phase two focused on Hamas disarmament and technocratic governance via the UN-authorized International Stabilization Force (ISF)—a multinational effort excluding direct U.S. combat troops, per repeated CENTCOM statements. Recent U.S. deployments of over 50,000 troops to the Middle East, including Marines and paratroopers announced March 25-29 amid Iranian missile attacks on regional bases, target Iran deterrence and Strait of Hormuz security rather than Gaza entry. Planned U.S. support bases near Gaza remain outside its borders, underscoring policy limits on ground involvement despite ISF leadership by a U.S. general; escalation risks or stalled disarmament talks could shift odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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