Trader consensus centers on 71–77% turnout for Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting historical 2022 levels around 73% amid intense mobilization in a polarized race between incumbent Fidesz and surging opposition Tisza party. Recent polls, including April 1 surveys showing Tisza widening its lead to 10+ points among decided voters, signal extremely high willingness to vote per Republikon Institute analysis, boosted by youth enthusiasm for challenger Péter Magyar—over 60% under-30 support—while Fidesz rallies its rural and older base via economic measures and the March Peace March. The tight clustering stems from undecided voters (now dropping) and uncertainty over youth turnout realization versus potential suppression claims; late scandals, weather, or final rallies could push toward 80%+ or below 71%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert71–74 % 35%
74–77 % 26%
Über 80 % 15.6%
68–71 % 13%
$102,304 Vol.
$102,304 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
Unter 65 %
<1%
65–68 %
3%
68–71 %
13%
71–74 %
35%
74–77 %
26%
77–80 %
11%
Über 80 %
16%
71–74 % 35%
74–77 % 26%
Über 80 % 15.6%
68–71 % 13%
$102,304 Vol.
$102,304 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
Unter 65 %
$3,338 Vol.
<1%
65–68 %
$4,897 Vol.
3%
68–71 %
$60,634 Vol.
13%
71–74 %
$9,925 Vol.
35%
74–77 %
$6,163 Vol.
26%
77–80 %
$10,424 Vol.
11%
Über 80 %
$6,924 Vol.
16%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus centers on 71–77% turnout for Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting historical 2022 levels around 73% amid intense mobilization in a polarized race between incumbent Fidesz and surging opposition Tisza party. Recent polls, including April 1 surveys showing Tisza widening its lead to 10+ points among decided voters, signal extremely high willingness to vote per Republikon Institute analysis, boosted by youth enthusiasm for challenger Péter Magyar—over 60% under-30 support—while Fidesz rallies its rural and older base via economic measures and the March Peace March. The tight clustering stems from undecided voters (now dropping) and uncertainty over youth turnout realization versus potential suppression claims; late scandals, weather, or final rallies could push toward 80%+ or below 71%.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Markt eröffnet: Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Volumen
$102,304Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus centers on 71–77% turnout for Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting historical 2022 levels around 73% amid intense mobilization in a polarized race between incumbent Fidesz and surging opposition Tisza party. Recent polls, including April 1 surveys showing Tisza widening its lead to 10+ points among decided voters, signal extremely high willingness to vote per Republikon Institute analysis, boosted by youth enthusiasm for challenger Péter Magyar—over 60% under-30 support—while Fidesz rallies its rural and older base via economic measures and the March Peace March. The tight clustering stems from undecided voters (now dropping) and uncertainty over youth turnout realization versus potential suppression claims; late scandals, weather, or final rallies could push toward 80%+ or below 71%.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volumen
$102,304Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 71–77% turnout for Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting historical 2022 levels around 73% amid intense mobilization in a polarized race between incumbent Fidesz and surging opposition Tisza party. Recent polls, including April 1 surveys showing Tisza widening its lead to 10+ points among decided voters, signal extremely high willingness to vote per Republikon Institute analysis, boosted by youth enthusiasm for challenger Péter Magyar—over 60% under-30 support—while Fidesz rallies its rural and older base via economic measures and the March Peace March. The tight clustering stems from undecided voters (now dropping) and uncertainty over youth turnout realization versus potential suppression claims; late scandals, weather, or final rallies could push toward 80%+ or below 71%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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