Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in Elon Musk at a 100% implied probability as the richest person on March 31, 2026, driven by his commanding $817 billion net worth atop the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List—over $579 billion ahead of Larry Page in second place. This unchallenged frontrunner status reflects Tesla's robust stock gains and SpaceX's soaring private valuations through March, which propelled Musk beyond the $800 billion milestone and extended his lead amid tech sector momentum. Larry Page posted a 4.78% daily uptick on March 31, but the gap remains insurmountable; realistic upsets would require an unprecedented Tesla collapse or rival windfall before the Bloomberg Billionaires Index's 5:30 PM ET snapshot, a near-impossible scenario given historical volatility patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertReichste Person am 31. März?
Reichste Person am 31. März?
Elon Musk 100.0%
Larry Ellison <1%
Bernard Arnault <1%
Jensen Huang <1%
$639,515 Vol.
$639,515 Vol.

Larry Ellison
Nein

Bernard Arnault
Nein

Jensen Huang
Nein

Steve Ballmer
Nein

Sergey Brin
Nein

Elon Musk
Ja

Mark Zuckerberg
Nein

Jeff Bezos
Nein

Warren Buffett
Nein

Larry Page
Nein
Elon Musk 100.0%
Larry Ellison <1%
Bernard Arnault <1%
Jensen Huang <1%
$639,515 Vol.
$639,515 Vol.

Larry Ellison
Nein

Bernard Arnault
Nein

Jensen Huang
Nein

Steve Ballmer
Nein

Sergey Brin
Nein

Elon Musk
Ja

Mark Zuckerberg
Nein

Jeff Bezos
Nein

Warren Buffett
Nein

Larry Page
Nein
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in Elon Musk at a 100% implied probability as the richest person on March 31, 2026, driven by his commanding $817 billion net worth atop the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List—over $579 billion ahead of Larry Page in second place. This unchallenged frontrunner status reflects Tesla's robust stock gains and SpaceX's soaring private valuations through March, which propelled Musk beyond the $800 billion milestone and extended his lead amid tech sector momentum. Larry Page posted a 4.78% daily uptick on March 31, but the gap remains insurmountable; realistic upsets would require an unprecedented Tesla collapse or rival windfall before the Bloomberg Billionaires Index's 5:30 PM ET snapshot, a near-impossible scenario given historical volatility patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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