Trader consensus prices Juntos por el Perú (JP), Fuerza Popular (FP), and Renovación Popular (RP) nearly even for the most seats in Peru's new Senate under the bicameral reform, reflecting extreme fragmentation in the April 12 election's proportional representation system with a national constituency. Recent Ipsos polls from April 1-4 show FP leading simulacro vote intention at 17.1%, JP at 9.7%, and RP at 10.5%, but high undecided rates (15-20%) and regional variations in seat projections keep the race tight—no party polls above 20%. Volatility stems from presidential coattails, with JP's Roberto Sánchez rising and undecideds shifting in the final week; separation could come from turnout in Lima, last-minute endorsements, or scandals before polls close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertGewinner der peruanischen Senatswahl
Gewinner der peruanischen Senatswahl
FP 45%
RP 29%
JP 28.0%
APP 5.5%
$14,863 Vol.
$14,863 Vol.

FP
32%

RP
24%

JP
28%

APP
6%

AvP
1%

SP
1%

PL
1%

PP
<1%

AP
<1%
FP 45%
RP 29%
JP 28.0%
APP 5.5%
$14,863 Vol.
$14,863 Vol.

FP
32%

RP
24%

JP
28%

APP
6%

AvP
1%

SP
1%

PL
1%

PP
<1%

AP
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Juntos por el Perú (JP), Fuerza Popular (FP), and Renovación Popular (RP) nearly even for the most seats in Peru's new Senate under the bicameral reform, reflecting extreme fragmentation in the April 12 election's proportional representation system with a national constituency. Recent Ipsos polls from April 1-4 show FP leading simulacro vote intention at 17.1%, JP at 9.7%, and RP at 10.5%, but high undecided rates (15-20%) and regional variations in seat projections keep the race tight—no party polls above 20%. Volatility stems from presidential coattails, with JP's Roberto Sánchez rising and undecideds shifting in the final week; separation could come from turnout in Lima, last-minute endorsements, or scandals before polls close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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