In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 4, trader consensus reflects a tight three-way contest among Mayor Brad Cohen at 35%, Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 33%, and Assemblywoman Susan Altman at 23%, driven by a fragmented field splitting progressive, moderate, and establishment support. Cohen's narrow edge stems from superior fundraising exceeding $1 million and endorsements from EMILYs List and labor unions, per recent FEC filings. Reynolds-Jackson remains competitive with retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's endorsement and legislative experience appealing to the district's diverse voters. Altman's moderate profile garners local backing. An Emerson College poll last week showed Cohen leading 23%-22% over Reynolds-Jackson amid 25% undecideds, underscoring volatility; late endorsements, turnout in urban precincts, or final debates could tip the balance in this open-seat race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertBrad Cohen 34%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%
Susan Altman 16%
Adam Hamawy 7%
$23,435 Vol.
$23,435 Vol.
Brad Cohen
34%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
32%
Susan Altman
22%
Adam Hamawy
7%
Matthew Adams
5%
Adrian Mapp
4%
Elijah Dixon
3%
Michael Anderson
2%
Kyle Little
2%
Raymond Heck
2%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
Brad Cohen 34%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%
Susan Altman 16%
Adam Hamawy 7%
$23,435 Vol.
$23,435 Vol.
Brad Cohen
34%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
32%
Susan Altman
22%
Adam Hamawy
7%
Matthew Adams
5%
Adrian Mapp
4%
Elijah Dixon
3%
Michael Anderson
2%
Kyle Little
2%
Raymond Heck
2%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 4, trader consensus reflects a tight three-way contest among Mayor Brad Cohen at 35%, Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 33%, and Assemblywoman Susan Altman at 23%, driven by a fragmented field splitting progressive, moderate, and establishment support. Cohen's narrow edge stems from superior fundraising exceeding $1 million and endorsements from EMILYs List and labor unions, per recent FEC filings. Reynolds-Jackson remains competitive with retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's endorsement and legislative experience appealing to the district's diverse voters. Altman's moderate profile garners local backing. An Emerson College poll last week showed Cohen leading 23%-22% over Reynolds-Jackson amid 25% undecideds, underscoring volatility; late endorsements, turnout in urban precincts, or final debates could tip the balance in this open-seat race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen