Trader consensus favors New Jersey Assemblymember Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 46% implied probability to win the NJ-12 Democratic primary on June 4, propelled by her top fundraising totals exceeding $1 million, key endorsement from retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, and strong name recognition from serving central New Jersey districts. Roselle Park Mayor Brad Cohen holds second at 22.5% on his local executive record and moderate appeal, while former prosecutor Susan Altman trails at 19.5% leveraging law enforcement credentials in a field splintered among nine candidates. No public polls have emerged in the past week, but recent ad blitzes and internal surveys highlight Reynolds-Jackson's edge in the district's Democratic-heavy Mercer and Middlesex counties, with early voting underway potentially amplifying turnout among progressive and union voters.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertBrad Cohen 25%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%
Susan Altman 16%
Adam Hamawy 7%
Brad Cohen
25%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
36%
Susan Altman
22%
Adam Hamawy
7%
Michael Anderson
5%
Matthew Adams
5%
Adrian Mapp
5%
Elijah Dixon
3%
Kyle Little
2%
Raymond Heck
2%
Tennille R. McCoy
2%
Brad Cohen 25%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%
Susan Altman 16%
Adam Hamawy 7%
Brad Cohen
25%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
36%
Susan Altman
22%
Adam Hamawy
7%
Michael Anderson
5%
Matthew Adams
5%
Adrian Mapp
5%
Elijah Dixon
3%
Kyle Little
2%
Raymond Heck
2%
Tennille R. McCoy
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors New Jersey Assemblymember Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 46% implied probability to win the NJ-12 Democratic primary on June 4, propelled by her top fundraising totals exceeding $1 million, key endorsement from retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, and strong name recognition from serving central New Jersey districts. Roselle Park Mayor Brad Cohen holds second at 22.5% on his local executive record and moderate appeal, while former prosecutor Susan Altman trails at 19.5% leveraging law enforcement credentials in a field splintered among nine candidates. No public polls have emerged in the past week, but recent ad blitzes and internal surveys highlight Reynolds-Jackson's edge in the district's Democratic-heavy Mercer and Middlesex counties, with early voting underway potentially amplifying turnout among progressive and union voters.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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