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Nächste militärische Auseinandersetzung der USA gegen Venezuela am...?

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Nächste militärische Auseinandersetzung der USA gegen Venezuela am...?

Kein militärisches Engagement im Jahr 2025 100.0%

November 24 <1%

25. November <1%

Gruppenelementtitel: 26. November <1%

Polymarket

$6,115,302 Vol.

Kein militärisches Engagement im Jahr 2025 100.0%

November 24 <1%

25. November <1%

Gruppenelementtitel: 26. November <1%

Polymarket

$6,115,302 Vol.

November 24

$16,521 Vol.

Nein

25. November

$12,305 Vol.

Nein

Gruppenelementtitel: 26. November

$50,403 Vol.

Nein

27. November

$26,626 Vol.

Nein

28. November

$110,465 Vol.

Nein

29. November

$69,037 Vol.

Nein

30. November

$38,868 Vol.

Nein

1. Dezember

$152,688 Vol.

Nein

2. Dezember

$143,803 Vol.

Nein

3. Dezember

$156,897 Vol.

Nein

4. Dezember

$114,214 Vol.

Nein

5. Dezember

$80,954 Vol.

Nein

6. Dezember

$247,933 Vol.

Nein

7. Dezember

$252,347 Vol.

Nein

8. Dezember

$144,644 Vol.

Nein

9. Dezember

$100,331 Vol.

Nein

10. Dezember

$139,654 Vol.

Nein

11. Dezember

$151,302 Vol.

Nein

12. Dezember

$169,819 Vol.

Nein

Dezember 13

$156,535 Vol.

Nein

14. Dezember

$173,132 Vol.

Nein

December 15

$142,702 Vol.

No

16. Dezember

$246,708 Vol.

Nein

17. Dezember

$259,801 Vol.

Nein

18. Dezember

$146,055 Vol.

Nein

19. Dezember

$182,914 Vol.

Nein

20. Dezember

$147,100 Vol.

Nein

21. Dezember

$120,640 Vol.

Nein

22. Dezember

$169,657 Vol.

Nein

23. Dezember

$119,274 Vol.

Nein

24. Dezember

$184,201 Vol.

Nein

25. Dezember

$230,223 Vol.

Nein

26. Dezember

$204,551 Vol.

Nein

27. Dezember

$189,590 Vol.

Nein

28. Dezember

$150,850 Vol.

Nein

29. Dezember

$193,759 Vol.

Nein

30. Dezember

$198,231 Vol.

Nein

31. Dezember

$203,861 Vol.

Nein

Kein militärisches Engagement im Jahr 2025

$516,706 Vol.

Ja

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) of the next military engagement between the military forces of the United States of America and Venezuela.

A "military engagement" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Venezuelan military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution; however, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.

Any U.S. military kinetic strike that impacts Venezuelan land territory will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

Missiles or drone strikes which are intercepted will not qualify regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory or cause damage. Similarly, surface-to-air missile strikes impacting adversarial territory will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution (although surface to air missiles fired at an adversarial military aircraft would qualify).

Note: the U.S. Coast Guard is a branch of the U.S. Armed Forces; Venezuela’s Milicia Nacional Bolivariana (militia) is a “special component” of the Venezuelan National Bolivarian Armed Forces (FANB); and Venezuela’s Coast Guard (Comando de Guardacostas) is a component of the Venezuelan Navy (Armada Bolivariana) and thus part of the FANB.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$6,115,302
Enddatum
Dec 31, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Nov 24, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) of the next military engagement between the military forces of the United States of America and Venezuela. A "military engagement" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Venezuelan military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution; however, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Any U.S. military kinetic strike that impacts Venezuelan land territory will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Missiles or drone strikes which are intercepted will not qualify regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory or cause damage. Similarly, surface-to-air missile strikes impacting adversarial territory will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution (although surface to air missiles fired at an adversarial military aircraft would qualify). Note: the U.S. Coast Guard is a branch of the U.S. Armed Forces; Venezuela’s Milicia Nacional Bolivariana (militia) is a “special component” of the Venezuelan National Bolivarian Armed Forces (FANB); and Venezuela’s Coast Guard (Comando de Guardacostas) is a component of the Venezuelan Navy (Armada Bolivariana) and thus part of the FANB. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nächste militärische Auseinandersetzung der USA gegen Venezuela am...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 39 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kein militärisches Engagement im Jahr 2025" at 100%, followed by "November 24" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nächste militärische Auseinandersetzung der USA gegen Venezuela am...?" has generated $6.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nächste militärische Auseinandersetzung der USA gegen Venezuela am...?," browse the 39 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nächste militärische Auseinandersetzung der USA gegen Venezuela am...?" is "Kein militärisches Engagement im Jahr 2025" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "November 24" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nächste militärische Auseinandersetzung der USA gegen Venezuela am...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.