Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 88.5% implied probability for U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of concrete executive actions or legislative progress despite early-year rhetoric from President Trump targeting Greenland, Canada, and others. A Florida congressman's January Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act drew attention, alongside tariff threats and National Defense Strategy emphasis on Western Hemisphere security, but Denmark's firm opposition, protests, and Trump's Davos pledge against force or coercion in late January cooled momentum. Constitutional requirements for treaties, Senate ratification, and international law present formidable barriers, with no military escalations, purchase negotiations, or congressional votes advancing since February, leaving scant path forward by year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$22,824 Vol.
$22,824 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$22,824 Vol.
$22,824 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 88.5% implied probability for U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of concrete executive actions or legislative progress despite early-year rhetoric from President Trump targeting Greenland, Canada, and others. A Florida congressman's January Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act drew attention, alongside tariff threats and National Defense Strategy emphasis on Western Hemisphere security, but Denmark's firm opposition, protests, and Trump's Davos pledge against force or coercion in late January cooled momentum. Constitutional requirements for treaties, Senate ratification, and international law present formidable barriers, with no military escalations, purchase negotiations, or congressional votes advancing since February, leaving scant path forward by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volumen
$22,824Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 88.5% implied probability for U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of concrete executive actions or legislative progress despite early-year rhetoric from President Trump targeting Greenland, Canada, and others. A Florida congressman's January Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act drew attention, alongside tariff threats and National Defense Strategy emphasis on Western Hemisphere security, but Denmark's firm opposition, protests, and Trump's Davos pledge against force or coercion in late January cooled momentum. Constitutional requirements for treaties, Senate ratification, and international law present formidable barriers, with no military escalations, purchase negotiations, or congressional votes advancing since February, leaving scant path forward by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$22,824Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 88.5% implied probability for U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of concrete executive actions or legislative progress despite early-year rhetoric from President Trump targeting Greenland, Canada, and others. A Florida congressman's January Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act drew attention, alongside tariff threats and National Defense Strategy emphasis on Western Hemisphere security, but Denmark's firm opposition, protests, and Trump's Davos pledge against force or coercion in late January cooled momentum. Constitutional requirements for treaties, Senate ratification, and international law present formidable barriers, with no military escalations, purchase negotiations, or congressional votes advancing since February, leaving scant path forward by year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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