Venezuelan crude oil production has accelerated sharply in early 2026, reaching approximately 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March per OPEC and Trading Economics data—up from under 1 million bpd in prior months—driven by eased U.S. sanctions enabling Chevron and other majors to ramp operations, alongside surging exports exceeding 1.2 million bpd to the U.S. and India in April. This rebound reflects improved diluent access for heavy crude blending and modest infrastructure investments, though persistent challenges like field decline and political uncertainty cap upside. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in a high likelihood of sustaining or exceeding 1 million bpd annually, with key catalysts including upcoming OPEC+ quota decisions in June and Q2 EIA production releases that could signal further gains or reversals amid volatile Brent crude dynamics around $80 per barrel.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$97,079 Vol.
28. Feb. 2027
1 Mio.
97%
1,1 Mio.
87%
1,2 Mio.
62%
1,3 Mio.
11%
1,4 Mio.
13%
1,5 Mio.
11%
1,7 Mio.
4%
2 Mio.
6%
$97,079 Vol.
1 Mio.
$26,448 Vol.
97%
1,1 Mio.
$14,092 Vol.
87%
1,2 Mio.
$9,063 Vol.
62%
1,3 Mio.
$6,545 Vol.
11%
1,4 Mio.
$16,606 Vol.
13%
1,5 Mio.
$7,993 Vol.
11%
1,7 Mio.
$3,757 Vol.
4%
2 Mio.
$12,575 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil production has accelerated sharply in early 2026, reaching approximately 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March per OPEC and Trading Economics data—up from under 1 million bpd in prior months—driven by eased U.S. sanctions enabling Chevron and other majors to ramp operations, alongside surging exports exceeding 1.2 million bpd to the U.S. and India in April. This rebound reflects improved diluent access for heavy crude blending and modest infrastructure investments, though persistent challenges like field decline and political uncertainty cap upside. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in a high likelihood of sustaining or exceeding 1 million bpd annually, with key catalysts including upcoming OPEC+ quota decisions in June and Q2 EIA production releases that could signal further gains or reversals amid volatile Brent crude dynamics around $80 per barrel.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Volumen
$97,079Enddatum
28. Feb. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil production has accelerated sharply in early 2026, reaching approximately 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March per OPEC and Trading Economics data—up from under 1 million bpd in prior months—driven by eased U.S. sanctions enabling Chevron and other majors to ramp operations, alongside surging exports exceeding 1.2 million bpd to the U.S. and India in April. This rebound reflects improved diluent access for heavy crude blending and modest infrastructure investments, though persistent challenges like field decline and political uncertainty cap upside. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in a high likelihood of sustaining or exceeding 1 million bpd annually, with key catalysts including upcoming OPEC+ quota decisions in June and Q2 EIA production releases that could signal further gains or reversals amid volatile Brent crude dynamics around $80 per barrel.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Volumen
$97,079Enddatum
28. Feb. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan crude oil production has accelerated sharply in early 2026, reaching approximately 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March per OPEC and Trading Economics data—up from under 1 million bpd in prior months—driven by eased U.S. sanctions enabling Chevron and other majors to ramp operations, alongside surging exports exceeding 1.2 million bpd to the U.S. and India in April. This rebound reflects improved diluent access for heavy crude blending and modest infrastructure investments, though persistent challenges like field decline and political uncertainty cap upside. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in a high likelihood of sustaining or exceeding 1 million bpd annually, with key catalysts including upcoming OPEC+ quota decisions in June and Q2 EIA production releases that could signal further gains or reversals amid volatile Brent crude dynamics around $80 per barrel.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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