Trader consensus prices John Thune at 19% for next Senate Majority Leader, driven by expectations of a Republican Senate majority after McConnell's planned exit from GOP leadership at year-end and strong polling in battleground states like Ohio, Montana, and Pennsylvania. Schumer's 13.5% reflects diminished Democratic hold prospects amid Republican gains in competitive races. The pack remains tight due to intra-party uncertainties—Thune faces rivals like Barrasso and Daines in a potential GOP caucus vote, while Democrats eye alternatives like Klobuchar or Kelly if they retain control. Election results on November 5 and subsequent leadership elections could sharply diverge odds by confirming majority party control.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJohn Thune 19%
Chuck Schumer 14%
Mark Kelly 7%
Lindsey Graham 5.8%
$26,863 Vol.
$26,863 Vol.

John Thune
19%

Chuck Schumer
14%

Mark Kelly
7%

Lindsey Graham
6%

Tom Cotton
6%

Cory Booker
5%

Steve Daines
5%

John Barrasso
5%

Patty Murray
5%

Brian Schatz
4%

Amy Klobuchar
9%
John Thune 19%
Chuck Schumer 14%
Mark Kelly 7%
Lindsey Graham 5.8%
$26,863 Vol.
$26,863 Vol.

John Thune
19%

Chuck Schumer
14%

Mark Kelly
7%

Lindsey Graham
6%

Tom Cotton
6%

Cory Booker
5%

Steve Daines
5%

John Barrasso
5%

Patty Murray
5%

Brian Schatz
4%

Amy Klobuchar
9%
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices John Thune at 19% for next Senate Majority Leader, driven by expectations of a Republican Senate majority after McConnell's planned exit from GOP leadership at year-end and strong polling in battleground states like Ohio, Montana, and Pennsylvania. Schumer's 13.5% reflects diminished Democratic hold prospects amid Republican gains in competitive races. The pack remains tight due to intra-party uncertainties—Thune faces rivals like Barrasso and Daines in a potential GOP caucus vote, while Democrats eye alternatives like Klobuchar or Kelly if they retain control. Election results on November 5 and subsequent leadership elections could sharply diverge odds by confirming majority party control.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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