Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a slim 52.5% implied probability over Republicans at 47% in the 2026 Nevada Governor race, driven by the state's swing status and incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo's narrow 2022 win amid persistent Democratic strength in presidential contests. Early polls show Lombardo leading potential Democratic challengers like Attorney General Aaron Ford or Treasurer Cisco Aguilar by slim margins, keeping the contest tight as no primaries have clarified fields. National midterm dynamics, fundraising edges, and state issues like housing costs and education could separate contenders, with upcoming candidate filings and voter registration trends likely to shift odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$17,645 Vol.
$17,645 Vol.

Demokrat
53%

Republikaner
47%
$17,645 Vol.
$17,645 Vol.

Demokrat
53%

Republikaner
47%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a slim 52.5% implied probability over Republicans at 47% in the 2026 Nevada Governor race, driven by the state's swing status and incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo's narrow 2022 win amid persistent Democratic strength in presidential contests. Early polls show Lombardo leading potential Democratic challengers like Attorney General Aaron Ford or Treasurer Cisco Aguilar by slim margins, keeping the contest tight as no primaries have clarified fields. National midterm dynamics, fundraising edges, and state issues like housing costs and education could separate contenders, with upcoming candidate filings and voter registration trends likely to shift odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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