Trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 74.5% to win the Massachusetts 6th district Democratic primary, propelled by a recent Emerson College poll showing him leading incumbent Seth Moulton 28%-20% among likely voters, alongside superior fundraising with over $1.2 million raised. Moulton trails at 9.6% on the market amid progressive backlash over his pro-Israel stance and narrow 2022 reelection. Mariah Lancaster (10.5%) and Kevin Larivee (10.1%) gain traction from teacher union support and anti-incumbent fervor, while others lag. Key catalysts include Koh's labor endorsements and upcoming September 3 primary debates, underscoring voter shifts in this competitive race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertDan Koh 75%
Diann Slavit Baylis 3.7%
Dominick Pangallo 3.1%
Rick Jakious 2.1%
$12,111 Vol.
$12,111 Vol.
Dan Koh
75%
Diann Slavit Baylis
4%
Dominick Pangallo
3%
Rick Jakious
2%
Tram Nguyen
2%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
2%
Mariah Lancaster
11%
Rachel Creemers
1%
John Beccia
1%
Kevin Larivee
10%
Seth Moulton
10%
Beth Andres-Beck
<1%
Dan Koh 75%
Diann Slavit Baylis 3.7%
Dominick Pangallo 3.1%
Rick Jakious 2.1%
$12,111 Vol.
$12,111 Vol.
Dan Koh
75%
Diann Slavit Baylis
4%
Dominick Pangallo
3%
Rick Jakious
2%
Tram Nguyen
2%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
2%
Mariah Lancaster
11%
Rachel Creemers
1%
John Beccia
1%
Kevin Larivee
10%
Seth Moulton
10%
Beth Andres-Beck
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 74.5% to win the Massachusetts 6th district Democratic primary, propelled by a recent Emerson College poll showing him leading incumbent Seth Moulton 28%-20% among likely voters, alongside superior fundraising with over $1.2 million raised. Moulton trails at 9.6% on the market amid progressive backlash over his pro-Israel stance and narrow 2022 reelection. Mariah Lancaster (10.5%) and Kevin Larivee (10.1%) gain traction from teacher union support and anti-incumbent fervor, while others lag. Key catalysts include Koh's labor endorsements and upcoming September 3 primary debates, underscoring voter shifts in this competitive race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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