Israeli ground operations and airstrikes in southern Lebanon have intensified since Hezbollah's March 2 rocket barrage targeting northern Israel, prompting evacuation orders for over 50 villages and the destruction of more than 200 Hezbollah sites. On March 29, Prime Minister Netanyahu directed further expansion of the security buffer zone south of the Litani River to neutralize ongoing rocket fire, amid reports of over 1,100 Lebanese casualties. Hezbollah claims continued counteroperations, while international concerns mount over escalation risks. Traders weigh diplomatic de-escalation signals against persistent cross-border exchanges, with no ceasefire in sight ahead of potential UN Security Council discussions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertIsrael military action against Lebanon on...?
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$3,599,124 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
March 29
97%
March 30
98%
March 31
96%
$3,599,124 Vol.
March 29
$23,468 Vol.
97%
March 30
$9,990 Vol.
98%
March 31
$26,953 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli ground operations and airstrikes in southern Lebanon have intensified since Hezbollah's March 2 rocket barrage targeting northern Israel, prompting evacuation orders for over 50 villages and the destruction of more than 200 Hezbollah sites. On March 29, Prime Minister Netanyahu directed further expansion of the security buffer zone south of the Litani River to neutralize ongoing rocket fire, amid reports of over 1,100 Lebanese casualties. Hezbollah claims continued counteroperations, while international concerns mount over escalation risks. Traders weigh diplomatic de-escalation signals against persistent cross-border exchanges, with no ceasefire in sight ahead of potential UN Security Council discussions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 17, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Volumen
$3,599,124Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 17, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli ground operations and airstrikes in southern Lebanon have intensified since Hezbollah's March 2 rocket barrage targeting northern Israel, prompting evacuation orders for over 50 villages and the destruction of more than 200 Hezbollah sites. On March 29, Prime Minister Netanyahu directed further expansion of the security buffer zone south of the Litani River to neutralize ongoing rocket fire, amid reports of over 1,100 Lebanese casualties. Hezbollah claims continued counteroperations, while international concerns mount over escalation risks. Traders weigh diplomatic de-escalation signals against persistent cross-border exchanges, with no ceasefire in sight ahead of potential UN Security Council discussions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$3,599,124Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 17, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli ground operations and airstrikes in southern Lebanon have intensified since Hezbollah's March 2 rocket barrage targeting northern Israel, prompting evacuation orders for over 50 villages and the destruction of more than 200 Hezbollah sites. On March 29, Prime Minister Netanyahu directed further expansion of the security buffer zone south of the Litani River to neutralize ongoing rocket fire, amid reports of over 1,100 Lebanese casualties. Hezbollah claims continued counteroperations, while international concerns mount over escalation risks. Traders weigh diplomatic de-escalation signals against persistent cross-border exchanges, with no ceasefire in sight ahead of potential UN Security Council discussions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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