Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C (63.5% implied probability) in Wuhan today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting 17–18°C daytime highs amid light rain and persistent cloud cover from an advancing frontal system. This reflects a sharp cooldown from March 29's observed 24°C peak under clearer skies, with reduced solar insolation capping warming despite Wuhan's urban heat island effect. GFS and ECMWF ensemble means cluster around 17–18°C, though a 17–21°C spread highlights uncertainty in precipitation timing; Hong Kong Observatory aligns with 14–18°C and rain. Hourly METAR observations from Wuhan Tianhe Airport will track real-time peaks, with resolution per official station data by midnight. March climatology supports mid-teens averages, reinforcing the narrow odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 30?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 30?
17°C 67%
18°C 26%
19°C 3.5%
20°C 1.6%
$27,309 Vol.
$27,309 Vol.
17°C
67%
18°C
30%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 67%
18°C 26%
19°C 3.5%
20°C 1.6%
$27,309 Vol.
$27,309 Vol.
17°C
67%
18°C
30%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C (63.5% implied probability) in Wuhan today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting 17–18°C daytime highs amid light rain and persistent cloud cover from an advancing frontal system. This reflects a sharp cooldown from March 29's observed 24°C peak under clearer skies, with reduced solar insolation capping warming despite Wuhan's urban heat island effect. GFS and ECMWF ensemble means cluster around 17–18°C, though a 17–21°C spread highlights uncertainty in precipitation timing; Hong Kong Observatory aligns with 14–18°C and rain. Hourly METAR observations from Wuhan Tianhe Airport will track real-time peaks, with resolution per official station data by midnight. March climatology supports mid-teens averages, reinforcing the narrow odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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