Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 30°C at 42.5% implied probability for São Paulo today, closely trailed by 29°C at 31.5%, reflecting the latest forecast model consensus from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and international ensembles projecting afternoon peaks near 29–30°C. A persistent high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil has dominated the past week, yielding clear skies, light southeast winds from the sea breeze, and minimal cloud cover to enable strong solar heating—mirroring observed highs of around 30°C on March 28–29. March climatology typically sees highs averaging 27°C, but this warm spell, driven by above-normal subtropical anticyclone strength, elevates expectations. Uncertainty lingers from potential isolated showers that could cap temps at 29°C; real-time data from Congonhas or Guarulhos stations will sharpen resolution by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 30. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 30. März?
30°C 42%
29°C 32%
28°C 14%
31°C 5%
$17,498 Vol.
$17,498 Vol.
24°C oder darunter
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
14%
29°C
32%
30°C
42%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 42%
29°C 32%
28°C 14%
31°C 5%
$17,498 Vol.
$17,498 Vol.
24°C oder darunter
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
14%
29°C
32%
30°C
42%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 30°C at 42.5% implied probability for São Paulo today, closely trailed by 29°C at 31.5%, reflecting the latest forecast model consensus from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and international ensembles projecting afternoon peaks near 29–30°C. A persistent high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil has dominated the past week, yielding clear skies, light southeast winds from the sea breeze, and minimal cloud cover to enable strong solar heating—mirroring observed highs of around 30°C on March 28–29. March climatology typically sees highs averaging 27°C, but this warm spell, driven by above-normal subtropical anticyclone strength, elevates expectations. Uncertainty lingers from potential isolated showers that could cap temps at 29°C; real-time data from Congonhas or Guarulhos stations will sharpen resolution by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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