Overnight runs of the GFS and ECMWF models diverged on peak afternoon temperatures for New York City, with GFS projecting potential highs of 68°F or above under reduced cloud cover and enhanced boundary-layer mixing, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler around 64-65°F amid lingering partial cloudiness—driving the tight trader consensus splitting implied probabilities across 64-65°F (33%), 68°F+ (28.5%), and 66-67°F (25.5%). Following yesterday's observed high of 52-53°F at Central Park, today's above-normal outlook stems from a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and solar heating, though uncertainty persists in exact cloud breaks and light southerly winds. National Weather Service normals peg March 30 highs at 55°F; hourly Central Park observations will sharpen resolution as insolation peaks this afternoon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in NYC on March 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 30?
64-65°F 32%
68°F or higher 23%
66-67°F 22%
62-63°F 18%
$20,380 Vol.
$20,380 Vol.
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
22%
68°F or higher
23%
64-65°F 32%
68°F or higher 23%
66-67°F 22%
62-63°F 18%
$20,380 Vol.
$20,380 Vol.
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
22%
68°F or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Overnight runs of the GFS and ECMWF models diverged on peak afternoon temperatures for New York City, with GFS projecting potential highs of 68°F or above under reduced cloud cover and enhanced boundary-layer mixing, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler around 64-65°F amid lingering partial cloudiness—driving the tight trader consensus splitting implied probabilities across 64-65°F (33%), 68°F+ (28.5%), and 66-67°F (25.5%). Following yesterday's observed high of 52-53°F at Central Park, today's above-normal outlook stems from a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and solar heating, though uncertainty persists in exact cloud breaks and light southerly winds. National Weather Service normals peg March 30 highs at 55°F; hourly Central Park observations will sharpen resolution as insolation peaks this afternoon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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