The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued March 29, drives trader consensus toward a Mexico City high of 20°C at nearly 50% implied probability, with 21°C and 19°C each at 26.5%, reflecting expected maximums of 20-22°C amid mostly cloudy skies, showers (5-25 mm), and possible hail. Cloud cover will limit solar insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where thinner air and diurnal heating typically yield late-March averages near 25°C, but a synoptic pattern favoring moisture from the south suppresses peaks. Recent March 29 guidance pegged today's high at 22-24°C under similar templado conditions with winds up to 60 km/h. Traders await final SMN updates or GFS model runs today, as small shifts in cloud timing could tip outcomes by 1-2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Mexico City on March 30?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on March 30?
20°C 50%
19°C 41%
22°C 18%
23°C 17%
16°C or below
9%
17°C
16%
18°C
11%
19°C
41%
20°C
60%
21°C
41%
22°C
18%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
2%
20°C 50%
19°C 41%
22°C 18%
23°C 17%
16°C or below
9%
17°C
16%
18°C
11%
19°C
41%
20°C
60%
21°C
41%
22°C
18%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued March 29, drives trader consensus toward a Mexico City high of 20°C at nearly 50% implied probability, with 21°C and 19°C each at 26.5%, reflecting expected maximums of 20-22°C amid mostly cloudy skies, showers (5-25 mm), and possible hail. Cloud cover will limit solar insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where thinner air and diurnal heating typically yield late-March averages near 25°C, but a synoptic pattern favoring moisture from the south suppresses peaks. Recent March 29 guidance pegged today's high at 22-24°C under similar templado conditions with winds up to 60 km/h. Traders await final SMN updates or GFS model runs today, as small shifts in cloud timing could tip outcomes by 1-2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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