Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Istanbul on April 3 project daytime highs of 10–15°C under a low-pressure trough ushering cool northeasterly winds, patchy showers, and persistent cloud cover that suppress solar heating and diurnal temperature peaks. Trader consensus, with implied probabilities closely clustered around 13–17°C outcomes, reflects model spread—warmer runs hinge on potential subtropical ridge amplification and southerly flow, while cooler scenarios dominate amid Black Sea influences and typical early-spring variability. Historical April 3 averages near 14°C provide baseline context, but daily updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models could shift odds as resolution nears in five days.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 3?
17°C or higher 41%
14°C 32%
15°C 23%
16°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
11%
9°C
12%
10°C
14%
11°C
15%
12°C
17%
13°C
18%
14°C
19%
15°C
23%
16°C
20%
17°C or higher
41%
17°C or higher 41%
14°C 32%
15°C 23%
16°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
7°C or below
$210 Vol.
1%
8°C
$0 Vol.
11%
9°C
$0 Vol.
12%
10°C
$0 Vol.
14%
11°C
$0 Vol.
15%
12°C
$0 Vol.
17%
13°C
$0 Vol.
18%
14°C
$9 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
23%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Istanbul on April 3 project daytime highs of 10–15°C under a low-pressure trough ushering cool northeasterly winds, patchy showers, and persistent cloud cover that suppress solar heating and diurnal temperature peaks. Trader consensus, with implied probabilities closely clustered around 13–17°C outcomes, reflects model spread—warmer runs hinge on potential subtropical ridge amplification and southerly flow, while cooler scenarios dominate amid Black Sea influences and typical early-spring variability. Historical April 3 averages near 14°C provide baseline context, but daily updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models could shift odds as resolution nears in five days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volumen
$219Enddatum
Apr 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Istanbul on April 3 project daytime highs of 10–15°C under a low-pressure trough ushering cool northeasterly winds, patchy showers, and persistent cloud cover that suppress solar heating and diurnal temperature peaks. Trader consensus, with implied probabilities closely clustered around 13–17°C outcomes, reflects model spread—warmer runs hinge on potential subtropical ridge amplification and southerly flow, while cooler scenarios dominate amid Black Sea influences and typical early-spring variability. Historical April 3 averages near 14°C provide baseline context, but daily updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models could shift odds as resolution nears in five days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$219Enddatum
Apr 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Istanbul on April 3 project daytime highs of 10–15°C under a low-pressure trough ushering cool northeasterly winds, patchy showers, and persistent cloud cover that suppress solar heating and diurnal temperature peaks. Trader consensus, with implied probabilities closely clustered around 13–17°C outcomes, reflects model spread—warmer runs hinge on potential subtropical ridge amplification and southerly flow, while cooler scenarios dominate amid Black Sea influences and typical early-spring variability. Historical April 3 averages near 14°C provide baseline context, but daily updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models could shift odds as resolution nears in five days.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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