Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 60.5% implied probability to a high of 76°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting mid-to-upper 70s highs amid breezy southwesterly winds gusting 20-25 mph, advecting warm air from the south ahead of an approaching storm system. A mid-level dry air cap is suppressing clouds and precipitation, fostering diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies, though a potential lake breeze off Lake Michigan could limit coastal highs to the upper 60s-low 70s. This marks a sharp warmup from yesterday's 62-63°F observed high, well above the March 30 normal of 52.5°F; updated model runs this morning bolstered confidence in stronger heating, with peak temperatures expected mid-afternoon before showers arrive tonight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 30. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 30. März?
76°F oder höher 55%
74-75°F 25%
72-73°F 10%
70-71°F 3.1%
$37,138 Vol.
$37,138 Vol.
57°F oder darunter
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
20–21 °C
3%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
25%
76°F oder höher
55%
76°F oder höher 55%
74-75°F 25%
72-73°F 10%
70-71°F 3.1%
$37,138 Vol.
$37,138 Vol.
57°F oder darunter
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
20–21 °C
3%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
25%
76°F oder höher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 60.5% implied probability to a high of 76°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting mid-to-upper 70s highs amid breezy southwesterly winds gusting 20-25 mph, advecting warm air from the south ahead of an approaching storm system. A mid-level dry air cap is suppressing clouds and precipitation, fostering diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies, though a potential lake breeze off Lake Michigan could limit coastal highs to the upper 60s-low 70s. This marks a sharp warmup from yesterday's 62-63°F observed high, well above the March 30 normal of 52.5°F; updated model runs this morning bolstered confidence in stronger heating, with peak temperatures expected mid-afternoon before showers arrive tonight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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