Trader consensus in the GA-11 Republican primary reflects a fragmented field where frontrunners Rob Adkerson and John Cowan hold slim leads at 45% and 41% implied probabilities, mirroring April polls from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution showing them tied within margins of error alongside Lisa Carlquist and John Hobbs. The race remains tight due to comparable fundraising—Adkerson at $450K and Cowan near $420K—split endorsements from local GOP chapters, and overlapping platforms emphasizing border security and fiscal conservatism, diluting any single contender's edge. Separation could emerge from a high-profile endorsement like Donald Trump's, final pre-primary FEC reports due this week, or early voting turnout data favoring suburban Gwinnett County strongholds, with the May 21 ballot set to decide.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertGA-11 Republican Primary Winner
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
John Cowan 40%
Lisa Carlquist 39%
John Hobbs 39%
Chris Mora 38%
John Cowan
40%
Lisa Carlquist
39%
John Hobbs
39%
Chris Mora
38%
William Brown
31%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
31%
Tricia Pridemore
32%
Rob Adkerson
45%
John Cowan 40%
Lisa Carlquist 39%
John Hobbs 39%
Chris Mora 38%
John Cowan
40%
Lisa Carlquist
39%
John Hobbs
39%
Chris Mora
38%
William Brown
31%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
31%
Tricia Pridemore
32%
Rob Adkerson
45%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the GA-11 Republican primary reflects a fragmented field where frontrunners Rob Adkerson and John Cowan hold slim leads at 45% and 41% implied probabilities, mirroring April polls from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution showing them tied within margins of error alongside Lisa Carlquist and John Hobbs. The race remains tight due to comparable fundraising—Adkerson at $450K and Cowan near $420K—split endorsements from local GOP chapters, and overlapping platforms emphasizing border security and fiscal conservatism, diluting any single contender's edge. Separation could emerge from a high-profile endorsement like Donald Trump's, final pre-primary FEC reports due this week, or early voting turnout data favoring suburban Gwinnett County strongholds, with the May 21 ballot set to decide.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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