Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 61.5% over Republicans at 38% in Florida's 22nd Congressional District House race, an open seat after longtime Rep. Lois Frankel's retirement. Democrat Aaron Dimmock, a former Air Force officer, holds a polling edge in recent surveys like Emerson College's mid-October poll (46%-42%) and boasts superior fundraising with over $1.3 million raised versus Republican C.B. Krouse's under $400,000. The district's Democratic lean—Biden won by 7 points in 2020—bolsters this positioning amid strong early voting turnout in Democratic strongholds Palm Beach and Broward counties. No major catalysts emerged in the past week, but national Republican momentum has yet to shift local dynamics ahead of November 5.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertFL-22 Wahlsieger
FL-22 Wahlsieger
Demokratische Partei
61%
Republikanische Partei
38%
Demokratische Partei
61%
Republikanische Partei
38%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 61.5% over Republicans at 38% in Florida's 22nd Congressional District House race, an open seat after longtime Rep. Lois Frankel's retirement. Democrat Aaron Dimmock, a former Air Force officer, holds a polling edge in recent surveys like Emerson College's mid-October poll (46%-42%) and boasts superior fundraising with over $1.3 million raised versus Republican C.B. Krouse's under $400,000. The district's Democratic lean—Biden won by 7 points in 2020—bolsters this positioning amid strong early voting turnout in Democratic strongholds Palm Beach and Broward counties. No major catalysts emerged in the past week, but national Republican momentum has yet to shift local dynamics ahead of November 5.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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