Congressional approval of a short-term extension for FISA Section 702 surveillance authorities—passed by the House overnight and the Senate shortly after, pushing the deadline to April 30—has solidified trader consensus on reauthorization before the original April 20 expiration, prioritizing national security amid ongoing intelligence needs. President Trump's public push for a clean renewal without warrant requirements for incidental U.S. persons' data collection aligns with intelligence community urgings, while bipartisan momentum averted an immediate lapse despite reform debates from privacy advocates and GOP hardliners. Historical last-minute renewals, like 2024's, reinforce high confidence; low-probability disruptions could include a veto, procedural holds, or FISA Court certification gaps.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFISA-Abschnitt 702 erneut genehmigt, bevor er abläuft?
FISA-Abschnitt 702 erneut genehmigt, bevor er abläuft?
Ja
$94,077 Vol.
$94,077 Vol.
19. Apr. 2026
Ja
$94,077 Vol.
$94,077 Vol.
19. Apr. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional approval of a short-term extension for FISA Section 702 surveillance authorities—passed by the House overnight and the Senate shortly after, pushing the deadline to April 30—has solidified trader consensus on reauthorization before the original April 20 expiration, prioritizing national security amid ongoing intelligence needs. President Trump's public push for a clean renewal without warrant requirements for incidental U.S. persons' data collection aligns with intelligence community urgings, while bipartisan momentum averted an immediate lapse despite reform debates from privacy advocates and GOP hardliners. Historical last-minute renewals, like 2024's, reinforce high confidence; low-probability disruptions could include a veto, procedural holds, or FISA Court certification gaps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Volumen
$94,077Enddatum
19. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional approval of a short-term extension for FISA Section 702 surveillance authorities—passed by the House overnight and the Senate shortly after, pushing the deadline to April 30—has solidified trader consensus on reauthorization before the original April 20 expiration, prioritizing national security amid ongoing intelligence needs. President Trump's public push for a clean renewal without warrant requirements for incidental U.S. persons' data collection aligns with intelligence community urgings, while bipartisan momentum averted an immediate lapse despite reform debates from privacy advocates and GOP hardliners. Historical last-minute renewals, like 2024's, reinforce high confidence; low-probability disruptions could include a veto, procedural holds, or FISA Court certification gaps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$94,740Enddatum
19. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congressional approval of a short-term extension for FISA Section 702 surveillance authorities—passed by the House overnight and the Senate shortly after, pushing the deadline to April 30—has solidified trader consensus on reauthorization before the original April 20 expiration, prioritizing national security amid ongoing intelligence needs. President Trump's public push for a clean renewal without warrant requirements for incidental U.S. persons' data collection aligns with intelligence community urgings, while bipartisan momentum averted an immediate lapse despite reform debates from privacy advocates and GOP hardliners. Historical last-minute renewals, like 2024's, reinforce high confidence; low-probability disruptions could include a veto, procedural holds, or FISA Court certification gaps.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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