Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing three months after the company's confidential submission in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter. Typical initial public offering timelines—encompassing SEC review, roadshows, and pricing—span 4-6 months, leaving scant runway amid volatile tech markets and Discord's downround from its $15 billion 2021 valuation to current private estimates near $8 billion (Forge share price $31.36 as of April 4). The 11.1% odds for a sub-$15 billion debut capture muted growth sentiment despite $800 million annual recurring revenue and 250 million monthly active users, with higher market cap brackets below 2% signaling profitability hurdles and acquisition alternatives. Key catalyst: any S-1 disclosure or delay announcement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertDiscord IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Discord IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 83%
<15 Mrd. $ 11.2%
15–20 Mrd. 1.8%
30 Mrd.+ 1.7%
$815,537 Vol.
$815,537 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
<15 Mrd. $
11%
15–20 Mrd.
2%
20–25 Mrd.
1%
25–30 Mrd.
1%
30 Mrd.+
2%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
83%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 83%
<15 Mrd. $ 11.2%
15–20 Mrd. 1.8%
30 Mrd.+ 1.7%
$815,537 Vol.
$815,537 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
<15 Mrd. $
$292,708 Vol.
11%
15–20 Mrd.
$103,679 Vol.
2%
20–25 Mrd.
$68,436 Vol.
1%
25–30 Mrd.
$82,739 Vol.
1%
30 Mrd.+
$89,162 Vol.
2%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
$178,814 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing three months after the company's confidential submission in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter. Typical initial public offering timelines—encompassing SEC review, roadshows, and pricing—span 4-6 months, leaving scant runway amid volatile tech markets and Discord's downround from its $15 billion 2021 valuation to current private estimates near $8 billion (Forge share price $31.36 as of April 4). The 11.1% odds for a sub-$15 billion debut capture muted growth sentiment despite $800 million annual recurring revenue and 250 million monthly active users, with higher market cap brackets below 2% signaling profitability hurdles and acquisition alternatives. Key catalyst: any S-1 disclosure or delay announcement.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$815,537Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing three months after the company's confidential submission in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter. Typical initial public offering timelines—encompassing SEC review, roadshows, and pricing—span 4-6 months, leaving scant runway amid volatile tech markets and Discord's downround from its $15 billion 2021 valuation to current private estimates near $8 billion (Forge share price $31.36 as of April 4). The 11.1% odds for a sub-$15 billion debut capture muted growth sentiment despite $800 million annual recurring revenue and 250 million monthly active users, with higher market cap brackets below 2% signaling profitability hurdles and acquisition alternatives. Key catalyst: any S-1 disclosure or delay announcement.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$815,537Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing three months after the company's confidential submission in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter. Typical initial public offering timelines—encompassing SEC review, roadshows, and pricing—span 4-6 months, leaving scant runway amid volatile tech markets and Discord's downround from its $15 billion 2021 valuation to current private estimates near $8 billion (Forge share price $31.36 as of April 4). The 11.1% odds for a sub-$15 billion debut capture muted growth sentiment despite $800 million annual recurring revenue and 250 million monthly active users, with higher market cap brackets below 2% signaling profitability hurdles and acquisition alternatives. Key catalyst: any S-1 disclosure or delay announcement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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