Trader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats securing 218 or more House seats and 49 or more Senate seats—at 84.5%, driven by consistent Democratic leads of 4-6 points on the generic ballot in recent polls like CNN/SSRS and YouGov, alongside a surge of special election flips from red to blue districts in Florida, Georgia, Arkansas, and Iowa over the past month. President Trump's approval rating has plunged below 40% amid economic worries and backlash over Iran escalations, eroding GOP base support among non-college whites and Latinos, per CBS/YouGov and other surveys. Historical midterm penalties for the president's party amplify these trends, though GOP redistricting pushes and potential base consolidation could narrow the path; key primaries loom through summer.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$35,843 Vol.
$35,843 Vol.
30. Nov. 2026
Ja
$35,843 Vol.
$35,843 Vol.
30. Nov. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats securing 218 or more House seats and 49 or more Senate seats—at 84.5%, driven by consistent Democratic leads of 4-6 points on the generic ballot in recent polls like CNN/SSRS and YouGov, alongside a surge of special election flips from red to blue districts in Florida, Georgia, Arkansas, and Iowa over the past month. President Trump's approval rating has plunged below 40% amid economic worries and backlash over Iran escalations, eroding GOP base support among non-college whites and Latinos, per CBS/YouGov and other surveys. Historical midterm penalties for the president's party amplify these trends, though GOP redistricting pushes and potential base consolidation could narrow the path; key primaries loom through summer.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Markt eröffnet: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Volumen
$35,843Enddatum
30. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats securing 218 or more House seats and 49 or more Senate seats—at 84.5%, driven by consistent Democratic leads of 4-6 points on the generic ballot in recent polls like CNN/SSRS and YouGov, alongside a surge of special election flips from red to blue districts in Florida, Georgia, Arkansas, and Iowa over the past month. President Trump's approval rating has plunged below 40% amid economic worries and backlash over Iran escalations, eroding GOP base support among non-college whites and Latinos, per CBS/YouGov and other surveys. Historical midterm penalties for the president's party amplify these trends, though GOP redistricting pushes and potential base consolidation could narrow the path; key primaries loom through summer.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Volumen
$35,843Enddatum
30. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats securing 218 or more House seats and 49 or more Senate seats—at 84.5%, driven by consistent Democratic leads of 4-6 points on the generic ballot in recent polls like CNN/SSRS and YouGov, alongside a surge of special election flips from red to blue districts in Florida, Georgia, Arkansas, and Iowa over the past month. President Trump's approval rating has plunged below 40% amid economic worries and backlash over Iran escalations, eroding GOP base support among non-college whites and Latinos, per CBS/YouGov and other surveys. Historical midterm penalties for the president's party amplify these trends, though GOP redistricting pushes and potential base consolidation could narrow the path; key primaries loom through summer.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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