Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February retirement announcement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus implies an 88.5% chance for Democrats to hold it, driven by the state's left-leaning electorate, Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's strong early primary polling over Rep. Angie Craig, and Craig's dominant fundraising with over $3.7 million cash on hand. Recent Emerson College (Feb. 11) and Public Policy Polling surveys show hypothetical Democratic matchups leading Republicans by 2-7 points amid a crowded GOP primary featuring Michele Tafoya and Royce White. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Democratic, with no significant shifts in the past week ahead of August primaries.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$15,255 Vol.
$15,255 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Demokrat
89%
Republikaner
12%
$15,255 Vol.
$15,255 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Demokrat
$11,272 Vol.
89%
Republikaner
$3,983 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February retirement announcement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus implies an 88.5% chance for Democrats to hold it, driven by the state's left-leaning electorate, Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's strong early primary polling over Rep. Angie Craig, and Craig's dominant fundraising with over $3.7 million cash on hand. Recent Emerson College (Feb. 11) and Public Policy Polling surveys show hypothetical Democratic matchups leading Republicans by 2-7 points amid a crowded GOP primary featuring Michele Tafoya and Royce White. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Democratic, with no significant shifts in the past week ahead of August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$15,255Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February retirement announcement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus implies an 88.5% chance for Democrats to hold it, driven by the state's left-leaning electorate, Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's strong early primary polling over Rep. Angie Craig, and Craig's dominant fundraising with over $3.7 million cash on hand. Recent Emerson College (Feb. 11) and Public Policy Polling surveys show hypothetical Democratic matchups leading Republicans by 2-7 points amid a crowded GOP primary featuring Michele Tafoya and Royce White. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Democratic, with no significant shifts in the past week ahead of August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$15,255Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February retirement announcement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus implies an 88.5% chance for Democrats to hold it, driven by the state's left-leaning electorate, Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's strong early primary polling over Rep. Angie Craig, and Craig's dominant fundraising with over $3.7 million cash on hand. Recent Emerson College (Feb. 11) and Public Policy Polling surveys show hypothetical Democratic matchups leading Republicans by 2-7 points amid a crowded GOP primary featuring Michele Tafoya and Royce White. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Democratic, with no significant shifts in the past week ahead of August primaries.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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