Former state Sen. Tom Begich leads trader consensus at 25% implied probability in Alaska's open gubernatorial race, reflecting his edge in the February Lake Research primary poll (22% first-round support) amid a crowded Republican field fragmenting votes ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary. Conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (21%), ex-state Sen. Click Bishop (16%), and former Attorney General Treg Taylor (15%) trail closely, buoyed by six-figure early fundraising hauls reported in late February—Taylor at $880,000 and others competitive—but no dominant GOP consolidator has emerged. High undecideds (23% in poll) and recent calls for Republican dropouts underscore the tight dynamics under ranked-choice voting; endorsements from Gov. Mike Dunleavy or fresh polls could create separation before the June filing deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertTom Begich 25%
Bernadette Wilson 15%
Edna DeVries 9.1%
Treg Taylor 8.2%
$385,215 Vol.
$385,215 Vol.

Tom Begich
25%

Bernadette Wilson
21%

Edna DeVries
10%

Treg Taylor
24%

Nancy Dahlstrom
8%

Lisa Murkowski
5%

James Parkin
5%

Shelley Hughes
4%

David Bronson
4%

Mary Peltola
3%

Click Bishop
22%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%
Tom Begich 25%
Bernadette Wilson 15%
Edna DeVries 9.1%
Treg Taylor 8.2%
$385,215 Vol.
$385,215 Vol.

Tom Begich
25%

Bernadette Wilson
21%

Edna DeVries
10%

Treg Taylor
24%

Nancy Dahlstrom
8%

Lisa Murkowski
5%

James Parkin
5%

Shelley Hughes
4%

David Bronson
4%

Mary Peltola
3%

Click Bishop
22%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former state Sen. Tom Begich leads trader consensus at 25% implied probability in Alaska's open gubernatorial race, reflecting his edge in the February Lake Research primary poll (22% first-round support) amid a crowded Republican field fragmenting votes ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary. Conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (21%), ex-state Sen. Click Bishop (16%), and former Attorney General Treg Taylor (15%) trail closely, buoyed by six-figure early fundraising hauls reported in late February—Taylor at $880,000 and others competitive—but no dominant GOP consolidator has emerged. High undecideds (23% in poll) and recent calls for Republican dropouts underscore the tight dynamics under ranked-choice voting; endorsements from Gov. Mike Dunleavy or fresh polls could create separation before the June filing deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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