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Oct 29, 2026

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See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?

Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?

9%
84%
2
icon for Will United Torah Judaism win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Will United Torah Judaism win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

97%
69%
3
icon for Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?

Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?

91%
63%
4
icon for Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

100%
62%
5
icon for Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

90%
50%
6
icon for Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?

95%
46%
7
icon for Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?

73%
29%
8
icon for Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?

Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?

60%
29%
9
icon for Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?

Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?

45%
28%
10
icon for Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?

52%
28%
11
icon for Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?

88%
22%
12
icon for Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

71%
21%
13
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?

53%
21%
14
icon for Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?

Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?

85%
19%
15
icon for Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?

Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?

96%
19%
16
icon for Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?

Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?

65%
19%
17
icon for Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

88%
17%
18
icon for Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

94%
17%
19
icon for Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?

Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?

56%
17%
20
icon for Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

94%
15%
21
icon for Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?

56%
14%
22
icon for US imports Russian diesel by November 30?

US imports Russian diesel by November 30?

74%
13%
23
icon for Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?

Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?

12%
13%
24
icon for Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?

Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?

64%
13%
25
icon for Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?

80%
13%

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