elmcap2

Joined Apr 2023·14.5K views

$6.5M

Positions Value

$201.6K

Biggest Win

2,192

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$2.2M
Total Volume: 298.4M

Profit/Loss

$4,555.58

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 50¢

4,000,000.0 shares

50¢

80¢

$3,198,000.00$1,198,000.00 (59.9%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 50¢

4,000,000.0 shares

$3,198,000.00$1,198,000.00 (59.9%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 50¢

4,000,000.0 shares

50¢

20.1¢

$802,000.00-$1,198,000.00 (-59.9%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 50¢

4,000,000.0 shares

$802,000.00-$1,198,000.00 (-59.9%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 95.6¢

387,287.7 shares

95.6¢

95.8¢

$370,827.99$722.57 (0.2%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 95.6¢

387,287.7 shares

$370,827.99$722.57 (0.2%)

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 92.6¢

358,302.5 shares

92.6¢

96.2¢

$344,687.04$12,755.57 (3.84%)

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 92.6¢

358,302.5 shares

$344,687.04$12,755.57 (3.84%)

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Yes 96.7¢

212,995.0 shares

96.7¢

99¢

$210,758.55$4,758.05 (2.31%)

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Yes 96.7¢

212,995.0 shares

$210,758.55$4,758.05 (2.31%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?

No 98.7¢

211,186.5 shares

98.7¢

99.6¢

$210,236.20$1,873.53 (0.9%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?

No 98.7¢

211,186.5 shares

$210,236.20$1,873.53 (0.9%)

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 96.9¢

208,823.6 shares

96.9¢

97.4¢

$203,289.81$959.72 (0.47%)

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 96.9¢

208,823.6 shares

$203,289.81$959.72 (0.47%)

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 88.5¢

199,111.4 shares

88.5¢

97.6¢

$194,233.21$18,049.45 (10.24%)

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 88.5¢

199,111.4 shares

$194,233.21$18,049.45 (10.24%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 99.6¢

150,000.0 shares

99.6¢

99.8¢

$149,625.00$275.05 (0.18%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 99.6¢

150,000.0 shares

$149,625.00$275.05 (0.18%)

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

No 91.4¢

123,312.5 shares

91.4¢

97.7¢

$120,476.31$7,737.45 (6.86%)

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

No 91.4¢

123,312.5 shares

$120,476.31$7,737.45 (6.86%)

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 96.3¢

77,039.4 shares

96.3¢

97¢

$74,689.69$494.78 (0.67%)

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 96.3¢

77,039.4 shares

$74,689.69$494.78 (0.67%)

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

No 99.5¢

53,966.0 shares

99.5¢

99.8¢

$53,831.08$134.31 (0.25%)

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

No 99.5¢

53,966.0 shares

$53,831.08$134.31 (0.25%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 97¢

44,663.6 shares

97¢

97.8¢

$43,658.69$337.61 (0.78%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 97¢

44,663.6 shares

$43,658.69$337.61 (0.78%)

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

No 90.6¢

42,124.6 shares

90.6¢

97.7¢

$41,134.65$2,951.37 (7.73%)

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

No 90.6¢

42,124.6 shares

$41,134.65$2,951.37 (7.73%)

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

No 87.7¢

34,677.7 shares

87.7¢

92.5¢

$32,076.86$1,667.42 (5.48%)

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

No 87.7¢

34,677.7 shares

$32,076.86$1,667.42 (5.48%)

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?

No 98.6¢

30,301.4 shares

98.6¢

99.7¢

$30,195.32$310.03 (1.04%)

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?

No 98.6¢

30,301.4 shares

$30,195.32$310.03 (1.04%)

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

No 94.6¢

29,133.4 shares

94.6¢

96.5¢

$28,113.71$563.51 (2.05%)

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

No 94.6¢

29,133.4 shares

$28,113.71$563.51 (2.05%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 85.8¢

35,000.0 shares

85.8¢

76.8¢

$26,862.49-$3,152.03 (-10.5%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 85.8¢

35,000.0 shares

$26,862.49-$3,152.03 (-10.5%)

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 96.7¢

26,030.0 shares

96.7¢

96.9¢

$25,210.03$26.67 (0.11%)

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 96.7¢

26,030.0 shares

$25,210.03$26.67 (0.11%)

Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

No 93.6¢

25,000.0 shares

93.6¢

96.7¢

$24,162.49$762.55 (3.26%)

Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

No 93.6¢

25,000.0 shares

$24,162.49$762.55 (3.26%)