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eightpenguins

Joined Jul 2025·17.5K views

$72.4K

Positions Value

$87.4K

Biggest Win

608

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$786.06
Polymarket

Past Day

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 71¢
27,053.3 shares
$21,236.83$2,029.02 (10.56%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

Yes 43.8¢
17,797.5 shares
$10,171.29$2,373.53 (30.44%)
icon for US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Yes 56¢
13,510.2 shares
$8,241.21$677.70 (8.96%)
icon for Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

No 73.9¢
7,049.0 shares
$6,026.87$820.64 (15.76%)
icon for Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

No 62¢
5,555.0 shares
$4,305.11$861.02 (25%)
icon for US strike on Cuba by December 31?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 50.4¢
11,307.1 shares
$3,448.67-$2,252.74 (-39.51%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Yes 53¢
5,205.0 shares
$3,044.92$286.27 (10.38%)
icon for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 29¢
8,677.3 shares
$2,733.35$216.93 (8.62%)
icon for 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 44¢
5,555.0 shares
$2,416.43-$27.77 (-1.14%)
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 97.7¢
2,349.2 shares
$2,340.97$45.81 (2%)
icon for Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?

No 22.5¢
7,127.2 shares
$1,532.35-$74.52 (-4.64%)
icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No 57.1¢
1,665.0 shares
$1,307.03$355.76 (37.4%)
icon for US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?

Yes 17.3¢
7,110.0 shares
$1,173.15-$59.99 (-4.87%)
icon for Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Yes 38.5¢
5,006.3 shares
$1,151.46-$774.52 (-40.21%)
icon for Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 33.9¢
3,119.3 shares
$826.60-$230.51 (-21.81%)
icon for Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

No 61¢
921.5 shares
$631.26$69.12 (12.3%)
icon for Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 12.7¢
1,575.1 shares
$593.04$393.16 (196.7%)
icon for Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 39.1¢
1,285.7 shares
$552.22$49.50 (9.85%)
icon for Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

Yes 56¢
741.3 shares
$404.00-$11.12 (-2.68%)
icon for Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Yes 9.6¢
3,896.5 shares
$83.38-$290.54 (-77.7%)