Arbguy

Joined Jul 2024·28.4K views

betmoar-88600

$424.6K

Positions Value

$448.9K

Biggest Win

977

Predictions

Profit/Loss

$25,524.66

Past Day

Current

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 81.6¢

105,003.8 shares

81.6¢

75.4¢

$79,214.86-$6,484.09 (-7.57%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 81.6¢

105,003.8 shares

$79,214.86-$6,484.09 (-7.57%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

No 73.8¢

60,000.0 shares

73.8¢

93.5¢

$56,100.00$11,800.02 (26.64%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

No 73.8¢

60,000.0 shares

$56,100.00$11,800.02 (26.64%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 22.6¢

155,444.6 shares

22.6¢

23.5¢

$36,529.48$1,452.94 (4.14%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 22.6¢

155,444.6 shares

$36,529.48$1,452.94 (4.14%)

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 48.2¢

57,485.7 shares

48.2¢

55.5¢

$31,904.55$4,201.51 (15.17%)

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 48.2¢

57,485.7 shares

$31,904.55$4,201.51 (15.17%)

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 82.6¢

35,402.4 shares

82.6¢

86.5¢

$30,623.10$1,370.92 (4.69%)

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 82.6¢

35,402.4 shares

$30,623.10$1,370.92 (4.69%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

No 86.8¢

27,153.4 shares

86.8¢

95.5¢

$25,917.92$2,354.77 (9.99%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

No 86.8¢

27,153.4 shares

$25,917.92$2,354.77 (9.99%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

No 69.3¢

43,084.0 shares

69.3¢

55.5¢

$23,911.60-$5,966.27 (-19.97%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

No 69.3¢

43,084.0 shares

$23,911.60-$5,966.27 (-19.97%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

No 89.3¢

35,583.2 shares

89.3¢

63.7¢

$22,684.30-$9,095.99 (-28.62%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

No 89.3¢

35,583.2 shares

$22,684.30-$9,095.99 (-28.62%)

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.3¢

892,945.2 shares

1.3¢

2.4¢

$20,984.21$9,045.53 (75.77%)

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.3¢

892,945.2 shares

$20,984.21$9,045.53 (75.77%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 83¢

19,565.1 shares

83¢

85.5¢

$16,728.14$497.34 (3.06%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 83¢

19,565.1 shares

$16,728.14$497.34 (3.06%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 11¢

155,243.3 shares

11¢

9.5¢

$14,748.11-$2,335.17 (-13.67%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 11¢

155,243.3 shares

$14,748.11-$2,335.17 (-13.67%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 41¢

26,637.9 shares

41¢

41.5¢

$11,054.74$133.19 (1.22%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 41¢

26,637.9 shares

$11,054.74$133.19 (1.22%)

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢

1,616,696.8 shares

0.7¢

$10,508.53-$229.57 (-2.14%)

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢

1,616,696.8 shares

$10,508.53-$229.57 (-2.14%)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes 65.8¢

24,389.8 shares

65.8¢

31.5¢

$7,682.80-$8,375.39 (-52.16%)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes 65.8¢

24,389.8 shares

$7,682.80-$8,375.39 (-52.16%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 87¢

49,962.5 shares

87¢

14.5¢

$7,244.56-$36,225.36 (-83.33%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 87¢

49,962.5 shares

$7,244.56-$36,225.36 (-83.33%)

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 49.8¢

12,796.4 shares

49.8¢

56.5¢

$7,228.67$860.86 (13.52%)

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 49.8¢

12,796.4 shares

$7,228.67$860.86 (13.52%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

No 34¢

17,789.7 shares

34¢

33.5¢

$5,959.53-$88.95 (-1.47%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

No 34¢

17,789.7 shares

$5,959.53-$88.95 (-1.47%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5.1¢

106,708.3 shares

5.1¢

4.9¢

$5,175.35-$287.90 (-5.27%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5.1¢

106,708.3 shares

$5,175.35-$287.90 (-5.27%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

No 27.9¢

20,534.3 shares

27.9¢

9.5¢

$1,950.76-$3,780.38 (-65.96%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

No 27.9¢

20,534.3 shares

$1,950.76-$3,780.38 (-65.96%)

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 54.1¢

3,309.8 shares

54.1¢

55.5¢

$1,836.96$47.77 (2.67%)

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 54.1¢

3,309.8 shares

$1,836.96$47.77 (2.67%)