Arbguy

Joined Jul 2024·29.5K views

betmoar-88600

$196.3K

Positions Value

$448.9K

Biggest Win

997

Predictions

Total PnL: +$401.2K
Total Volume: 63.3M

Profit/Loss

$0.00

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 82.6¢

35,402.4 shares

82.6¢

92.5¢

$32,747.25$3,495.19 (11.95%)

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 82.6¢

35,402.4 shares

$32,747.25$3,495.19 (11.95%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 22.6¢

155,444.6 shares

22.6¢

15.5¢

$24,093.91-$10,982.63 (-31.31%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 22.6¢

155,444.6 shares

$24,093.91-$10,982.63 (-31.31%)

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 48.2¢

57,485.7 shares

48.2¢

37.5¢

$21,557.13-$6,145.92 (-22.19%)

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 48.2¢

57,485.7 shares

$21,557.13-$6,145.92 (-22.19%)

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.3¢

892,945.2 shares

1.3¢

2.2¢

$19,644.79$7,706.12 (64.55%)

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.3¢

892,945.2 shares

$19,644.79$7,706.12 (64.55%)

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 49.4¢

47,217.8 shares

49.4¢

39.5¢

$18,651.03-$4,652.97 (-19.97%)

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 49.4¢

47,217.8 shares

$18,651.03-$4,652.97 (-19.97%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 83¢

19,565.1 shares

83¢

92.5¢

$18,097.70$1,866.92 (11.5%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 83¢

19,565.1 shares

$18,097.70$1,866.92 (11.5%)

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢

1,616,696.8 shares

0.7¢

$10,508.53-$229.59 (-2.14%)

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢

1,616,696.8 shares

$10,508.53-$229.59 (-2.14%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 11¢

155,243.3 shares

11¢

6.5¢

$10,090.81-$6,992.47 (-40.93%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 11¢

155,243.3 shares

$10,090.81-$6,992.47 (-40.93%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 41¢

26,637.9 shares

41¢

30.5¢

$8,124.57-$2,796.96 (-25.61%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 41¢

26,637.9 shares

$8,124.57-$2,796.96 (-25.61%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

No 34¢

17,789.7 shares

34¢

39.5¢

$7,026.91$978.45 (16.18%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

No 34¢

17,789.7 shares

$7,026.91$978.45 (16.18%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5.1¢

106,708.3 shares

5.1¢

6.2¢

$6,562.56$1,099.42 (20.12%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5.1¢

106,708.3 shares

$6,562.56$1,099.42 (20.12%)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes 31.6¢

88,508.4 shares

31.6¢

6.3¢

$5,531.77-$22,459.57 (-80.24%)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes 31.6¢

88,508.4 shares

$5,531.77-$22,459.57 (-80.24%)

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 49.8¢

12,796.4 shares

49.8¢

37.5¢

$4,798.64-$1,569.17 (-24.64%)

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 49.8¢

12,796.4 shares

$4,798.64-$1,569.17 (-24.64%)

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

No 36.3¢

12,728.8 shares

36.3¢

29.5¢

$3,755.01-$862.05 (-18.67%)

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

No 36.3¢

12,728.8 shares

$3,755.01-$862.05 (-18.67%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 87¢

49,962.5 shares

87¢

7.5¢

$3,747.19-$39,722.74 (-91.38%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 87¢

49,962.5 shares

$3,747.19-$39,722.74 (-91.38%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

No 21¢

25,200.0 shares

21¢

2.1¢

$529.20-$4,762.79 (-90%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

No 21¢

25,200.0 shares

$529.20-$4,762.79 (-90%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 83.1¢

464.3 shares

83.1¢

88.2¢

$409.53$23.68 (6.14%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 83.1¢

464.3 shares

$409.53$23.68 (6.14%)

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 8.9¢

12,155.0 shares

8.9¢

2.8¢

$334.26-$745.11 (-69.03%)

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 8.9¢

12,155.0 shares

$334.26-$745.11 (-69.03%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

No 25¢

381.5 shares

25¢

15.5¢

$59.14-$36.24 (-38%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

No 25¢

381.5 shares

$59.14-$36.24 (-38%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Yes 23.5¢

12,918.1 shares

23.5¢

0.3¢

$32.30-$2,997.29 (-98.93%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Yes 23.5¢

12,918.1 shares

$32.30-$2,997.29 (-98.93%)