Skip to main content

TheRealWarMonger

Joined Oct 2025·4.8K views

My alpha is war

$86.4K

Positions Value

$25.1K

Biggest Win

584

Predictions

Profit/Loss

$1,259.64
Polymarket

Past Day

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 83.2¢
51,983.8 shares
$29,365.65-$13,908.68 (-32.14%)
icon for Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 63¢
21,479.3 shares
$16,431.66$2,902.28 (21.45%)
icon for No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 98¢
5,858.9 shares
$5,791.53$50.46 (0.88%)
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 56.9¢
13,973.4 shares
$5,519.49-$2,428.28 (-30.55%)
icon for Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

No 97.8¢
5,400.0 shares
$5,381.10$98.11 (1.86%)
icon for Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 99.5¢
4,221.1 shares
$4,210.55$10.55 (0.25%)
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 78.4¢
3,548.8 shares
$2,723.72-$59.77 (-2.15%)

Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 80¢
3,041.7 shares
$2,357.29-$74.79 (-3.08%)
icon for Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

No 93.8¢
2,014.6 shares
$1,907.86$18.63 (0.99%)
icon for Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 87.7¢
2,254.0 shares
$1,735.56-$240.33 (-12.16%)
icon for Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?

Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?

No 65.5¢
512.4 shares
$402.23$66.40 (19.77%)
icon for Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

No 63¢
1,043.8 shares
$334.00-$323.56 (-49.21%)
icon for Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Yes 21.6¢
800.0 shares
$181.20$8.40 (4.86%)
icon for Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 92¢
200.0 shares
$180.50-$3.50 (-1.9%)

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

No 98¢
100.0 shares
$99.00$1.00 (1.02%)
icon for Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

No 85¢
100.0 shares
$89.90$4.90 (5.76%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

No 83¢
200.0 shares
$84.90-$81.10 (-48.86%)
icon for Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 74.1¢
135.0 shares
$64.12-$35.88 (-35.88%)