PMProf

Joined Apr 2026·6 views

Full professor in Philosophy of Science, scholar of causation and prediction in the medical sciences, and avid follower of geopolitics and the financial markets.

$637.89

Positions Value

$128.64

Biggest Win

278

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$48.89

Past Day

Current

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Yes 31.2¢

666.5 shares

31.2¢

28¢

$186.61-$21.08 (-10.15%)

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Yes 31.2¢

666.5 shares

$186.61-$21.08 (-10.15%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 23.5¢

508.5 shares

23.5¢

26.9¢

$136.53$16.91 (14.13%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 23.5¢

508.5 shares

$136.53$16.91 (14.13%)

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 2.2¢

6,295.3 shares

2.2¢

2¢

$125.91-$13.79 (-9.87%)

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 2.2¢

6,295.3 shares

$125.91-$13.79 (-9.87%)

Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Yes 10.7¢

130.1 shares

10.7¢

31.8¢

$41.37$27.40 (196.14%)

Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Yes 10.7¢

130.1 shares

$41.37$27.40 (196.14%)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes 37.5¢

190.7 shares

37.5¢

15.5¢

$29.56-$41.90 (-58.63%)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes 37.5¢

190.7 shares

$29.56-$41.90 (-58.63%)

Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Yes 12.6¢

381.3 shares

12.6¢

7.5¢

$28.59-$19.39 (-40.4%)

Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Yes 12.6¢

381.3 shares

$28.59-$19.39 (-40.4%)

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 8¢

362.5 shares

8¢

6.5¢

$23.56-$5.44 (-18.75%)

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 8¢

362.5 shares

$23.56-$5.44 (-18.75%)

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Yes 3.8¢

263.2 shares

3.8¢

5.2¢

$13.68$3.68 (36.84%)

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Yes 3.8¢

263.2 shares

$13.68$3.68 (36.84%)

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.5¢

4,000.0 shares

0.5¢

0.3¢

$10.00-$10.00 (-50%)

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.5¢

4,000.0 shares

$10.00-$10.00 (-50%)

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?

No 49¢

18.4 shares

49¢

45.5¢

$8.36-$0.64 (-7.14%)

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?

No 49¢

18.4 shares

$8.36-$0.64 (-7.14%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 9.8¢

291.3 shares

9.8¢

2.8¢

$8.01-$20.49 (-71.9%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 9.8¢

291.3 shares

$8.01-$20.49 (-71.9%)

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢

1,428.6 shares

0.7¢

0.5¢

$7.86-$2.14 (-21.42%)

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢

1,428.6 shares

$7.86-$2.14 (-21.42%)

Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Yes 1.6¢

626.6 shares

1.6¢

1.1¢

$6.89-$3.11 (-31.08%)

Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Yes 1.6¢

626.6 shares

$6.89-$3.11 (-31.08%)

Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Yes 8.3¢

238.9 shares

8.3¢

2.4¢

$5.62-$14.23 (-71.7%)

Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Yes 8.3¢

238.9 shares

$5.62-$14.23 (-71.7%)

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Yes 5.8¢

279.8 shares

5.8¢

1.1¢

$2.94-$13.29 (-81.9%)

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Yes 5.8¢

279.8 shares

$2.94-$13.29 (-81.9%)

Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Yes 1.8¢

281.8 shares

1.8¢

0.9¢

$2.40-$2.60 (-52.09%)

Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Yes 1.8¢

281.8 shares

$2.40-$2.60 (-52.09%)