Profit/Loss
Past Day

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
76.6¢
92.5¢

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
80¢
83.5¢

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
67.2¢
88.5¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
58.3¢
78.5¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
68.1¢
70¢

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
49¢
84.5¢

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
78.5¢
82.5¢

Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
69¢
91.5¢

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
70¢
85.5¢

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
80¢
92.5¢

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?


