Profit/Loss
Past Day

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
85.8¢
96¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
61¢
68.5¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
49.4¢
52.5¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
51¢
53.5¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
75¢
82.5¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
50.5¢
14.5¢

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
29.2¢
36.3¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
27.2¢
32.5¢

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
16.8¢
14.5¢

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
14.6¢
20.5¢

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
71.7¢
3.6¢

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
40.3¢
44¢

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
3.3¢
0¢

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
40¢
0¢

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
14¢
0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
