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debased

加入时间 3月 2023·38.3K 浏览量

no crazy war, yes peace

$809.7K

持仓价值

$2.1M

最高赢利

4,037

预测

盈亏

$826.40
Polymarket

过去 24 小时

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
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Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 50¢
500,000.0 份额
$307,750.00$57,750.00 (23.1%)
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Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 50¢
500,000.0 份额
$192,250.00-$57,750.00 (-23.1%)
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Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 97¢
84,819.2 份额
$83,843.77$1,608.09 (1.96%)
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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 80.8¢
31,565.5 份额
$31,265.67$5,751.72 (22.54%)
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Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.6¢
27,251.5 份额
$26,897.28$23.11 (0.09%)
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Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 91.9¢
24,336.0 份额
$22,754.18$401.37 (1.8%)
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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

No 99.2¢
22,222.0 份额
$22,144.26$92.62 (0.42%)
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Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

No 99.3¢
22,222.0 份额
$22,099.79$33.36 (0.15%)
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US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

No 81.6¢
13,077.5 份额
$10,004.26-$673.21 (-6.3%)
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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 58.3¢
12,580.3 份额
$8,742.04$1,406.58 (19.18%)
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US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 54.9¢
11,568.1 份额
$6,420.31$64.35 (1.01%)
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Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 35.6¢
10,644.7 份额
$6,333.61$2,547.22 (67.27%)
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Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 87¢
6,691.9 份额
$6,139.85$316.41 (5.43%)
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Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

No 93¢
5,438.6 份额
$5,193.91$135.97 (2.69%)
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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 81¢
5,557.3 份额
$4,473.64-$27.79 (-0.62%)
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Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 78.6¢
4,119.2 份额
$3,645.48$407.35 (12.58%)
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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

No 93.3¢
3,599.7 份额
$3,536.67$176.91 (5.27%)
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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Yes 87.5¢
3,367.8 份额
$3,115.18$167.76 (5.69%)
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Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 61.4¢
7,330.5 份额
$2,968.87-$1,529.07 (-33.99%)
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Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 94.3¢
2,694.5 份额
$2,601.56$60.73 (2.39%)
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Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

No 94.4¢
2,696.1 份额
$2,597.70$53.15 (2.09%)
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Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 87.9¢
2,735.7 份额
$2,585.22$180.96 (7.53%)
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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Yes 84.2¢
2,591.0 份额
$2,269.73$86.85 (3.98%)
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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Yes 65.4¢
2,497.5 份额
$2,235.29$600.78 (36.76%)
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

No 92.8¢
2,222.0 份额
$2,164.23$101.11 (4.9%)
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Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

No 52.4¢
3,761.4 份额
$2,012.34$40.21 (2.04%)
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US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 59.5¢
3,376.4 份额
$2,008.94-$0.44 (-0.02%)
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Iran leadership change by December 31?

No 70¢
2,520.2 份额
$1,751.25-$12.85 (-0.73%)
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Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 17.3¢
11,464.9 份额
$1,547.76-$435.53 (-21.96%)