Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

98%

No change

$48M 交易量

$2M today

$4M Liq.

4

Ends 25 天内

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

100%

March 31

$786K 交易量

$584K today

$249K Liq.

Ends 11 天内

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

87%

↑ $115

$7M 交易量

$211K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends 3 个月内

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

40%

↓ $4,200

$3M 交易量

$85.8K today

$483K Liq.

Ends 3 个月内

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

91%

No change

$5M 交易量

$81.6K today

$1M Liq.

Ends 2 个月内

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?

41%

Up

$66.4K 交易量

$60.8K today

$16.7K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

47%

No Meeting by June 30

$549K 交易量

$193K Liq.

10

Ends 3 个月内

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

56%

25 bps increase

$343K 交易量

$61.7K Liq.

Ends 24 天内

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

80%

No change

$3M 交易量

$306K Liq.

Ends 4 个月内

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?

42%

Up

$14.2K 交易量

$10.3K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

26%

$44.9K 交易量

$17.0K Liq.

Ends 26 天内

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?

62%

↓ $65

$3M 交易量

$401K Liq.

Ends 3 个月内

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

15%

$108K 交易量

$27.1K Liq.

6

Ends 3 个月内

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

74%

No change

$287K 交易量

$53.6K Liq.

Ends 26 天内

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on April 6?

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on April 6?

61%

Up

$3.8K 交易量

$843 Liq.

Ends 3 天内

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

27%

3.5%

$6M 交易量

$303K Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

Bank of Canada decision in April?

Bank of Canada decision in April?

98%

No change

$79.9K 交易量

$34.3K Liq.

Ends 25 天内

Bank of England decision in April?

Bank of England decision in April?

90%

No change

$290K 交易量

$55.3K Liq.

Ends 26 天内

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

45%

↑ $6,000

$184K 交易量

$210K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 6?

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 6?

41%

Up

$2.1K 交易量

$7.6K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 NEA 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 166 个活跃的 NEA 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Fed decision in April?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $79.9M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Fed decision in April?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Fed decision in April?",市场目前认为 No change 的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 NEA 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。