Resilient U.S. labor market conditions and persistent inflation pressures above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target anchor the 60.5% market-implied probability of no change in the federal funds rate at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000 with unemployment steady at 4.1%, while July CPI printed 3.4% year-over-year and core PCE inflation remained near 3.3%, prompting forecasters including Citigroup to push first cuts to mid-2027. FOMC projections from June show a median end-2026 rate near 3.8%, reflecting concerns over energy and services prices amid geopolitical tensions. Futures markets currently price gradual tightening risks ahead of the September meeting, with upcoming CPI and PPI releases likely to refine trader consensus on whether the policy rate holds through early next year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No change 61%
加息25个基点 25%
25 bps decrease 14%
50+ bps decrease 3.5%
$62,398 交易量
$62,398 交易量
2027-01-27
50+ bps decrease
3%
25 bps decrease
14%
No change
61%
加息25个基点
25%
上调50个基点以上
2%
No change 61%
加息25个基点 25%
25 bps decrease 14%
50+ bps decrease 3.5%
$62,398 交易量
$62,398 交易量
2027-01-27
50+ bps decrease
$13,099 交易量
3%
25 bps decrease
$11,874 交易量
14%
No change
$19,062 交易量
61%
加息25个基点
$15,847 交易量
25%
上调50个基点以上
$2,515 交易量
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Resilient U.S. labor market conditions and persistent inflation pressures above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target anchor the 60.5% market-implied probability of no change in the federal funds rate at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000 with unemployment steady at 4.1%, while July CPI printed 3.4% year-over-year and core PCE inflation remained near 3.3%, prompting forecasters including Citigroup to push first cuts to mid-2027. FOMC projections from June show a median end-2026 rate near 3.8%, reflecting concerns over energy and services prices amid geopolitical tensions. Futures markets currently price gradual tightening risks ahead of the September meeting, with upcoming CPI and PPI releases likely to refine trader consensus on whether the policy rate holds through early next year.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
交易量
$62,398结束日期
2027-01-27市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Resilient U.S. labor market conditions and persistent inflation pressures above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target anchor the 60.5% market-implied probability of no change in the federal funds rate at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000 with unemployment steady at 4.1%, while July CPI printed 3.4% year-over-year and core PCE inflation remained near 3.3%, prompting forecasters including Citigroup to push first cuts to mid-2027. FOMC projections from June show a median end-2026 rate near 3.8%, reflecting concerns over energy and services prices amid geopolitical tensions. Futures markets currently price gradual tightening risks ahead of the September meeting, with upcoming CPI and PPI releases likely to refine trader consensus on whether the policy rate holds through early next year.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$62,398结束日期
2027-01-27市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETResilient U.S. labor market conditions and persistent inflation pressures above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target anchor the 60.5% market-implied probability of no change in the federal funds rate at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000 with unemployment steady at 4.1%, while July CPI printed 3.4% year-over-year and core PCE inflation remained near 3.3%, prompting forecasters including Citigroup to push first cuts to mid-2027. FOMC projections from June show a median end-2026 rate near 3.8%, reflecting concerns over energy and services prices amid geopolitical tensions. Futures markets currently price gradual tightening risks ahead of the September meeting, with upcoming CPI and PPI releases likely to refine trader consensus on whether the policy rate holds through early next year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题