Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh·Politics

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

95%

Kevin Warsh

$6M 交易量

$514K today

$2M Liq.

56

Ends in 8 months

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
Kevin Warsh·Politics

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

5%

$27.3K 交易量

$47.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
Kevin Warsh·Politics

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

78%

May 15

$363K 交易量

$15.3K Liq.

8

Ends in 2 months

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
Kevin Warsh·Politics

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

39%

US x Iran Ceasefire

$51.7K 交易量

$88.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh·Politics

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

94%

John Kennedy

$35.9K 交易量

$14.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
Kevin Warsh·Parlays

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

76%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$39.3K 交易量

$38.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Honor of Kings: WST vs LT Gaming (BO5) - KPL Growth League Group Stage
Kevin Warsh·Sports

Honor of Kings: WST vs LT Gaming (BO5) - KPL Growth League Group Stage

53%

WST

$62 交易量

$756 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs KuaiShow Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group S
Kevin Warsh·Sports

Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs KuaiShow Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group S

63%

AG Super Play

$6.7K 交易量

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in about 12 hours

WTT - Men's Singles: Koen Pang vs Patrick Franziska
Kevin Warsh·Sports

WTT - Men's Singles: Koen Pang vs Patrick Franziska

Franziska

$154 交易量

$0 Liq.

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Kevin Warsh·Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

49%

$402K 交易量

$30.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?
Kevin Warsh·MrBeast

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

79%

Feastables

$2.5K 交易量

$2.3K Liq.

11

Ends in 14 days

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
Kevin Warsh·Politics

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

78%

Not revealed in 2026

$8.6K 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 10 months

WTT - Men's Singles: Dimitrij Ovtcharov vs Anders Lind
Kevin Warsh·Sports

WTT - Men's Singles: Dimitrij Ovtcharov vs Anders Lind

Lind

$26 交易量

$0 Liq.

White House # posts March 17 - March 24, 2026?
Kevin Warsh·Politics

White House # posts March 17 - March 24, 2026?

45%

60-79

$2 交易量

$526 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
Kevin Warsh·Sports

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

42%

51–60

$28 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 24 days

Khamenei # posts March 17 - March 24, 2026?
Kevin Warsh·Politics

Khamenei # posts March 17 - March 24, 2026?

49%

<20

$11 交易量

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Kevin Warsh·Politics

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

93%

Iran

$1.7K 交易量

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)
Kevin Warsh·Sports

UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)

81%

Kevin Vallejos

$83.8K 交易量

$66.4K Liq.

Ends in about 22 hours

What will be said during the Valorant Masters Santiago 2026 Grand Finals?
Kevin Warsh·Culture

What will be said during the Valorant Masters Santiago 2026 Grand Finals?

96%

Pearl

$6.6K 交易量

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)
Kevin Warsh·Politics

What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)

75%

Texas

$23 交易量

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 Kevin Warsh 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 108 个活跃的 Kevin Warsh 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $7.1M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?",市场目前认为 Kevin Warsh 的概率为 95%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 Kevin Warsh 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。