Polymarket traders price a modest 45% implied probability for silver (SI) futures surpassing $32 by March 31, 2025, reflecting caution amid a recent pullback from September peaks above $32.50 on COMEX, now trading near $30.80 spot amid USD strength and fading safe-haven flows post-election volatility. Key drivers include industrial demand from solar panels and EVs, which accounts for 50%+ of consumption per Silver Institute data, versus headwinds from elevated Fed funds rates curbing investment buying. Watch upcoming catalysts: December FOMC dot plot on December 18 for rate cut signals boosting precious metals, January CPI release, and Lunar New Year demand spikes; a break above $31.50 resistance could flip sentiment bullish.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,143,287 交易量
↑ 200美元
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
<1%
↑ $130
<1%
↑ $125
<1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
1%
↑ 95美元
5%
↓ $65
39%
↓ 60美元
10%
↓ 50美元
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$1,143,287 交易量
↑ 200美元
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
<1%
↑ $130
<1%
↑ $125
<1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
1%
↑ 95美元
5%
↓ $65
39%
↓ 60美元
10%
↓ 50美元
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a modest 45% implied probability for silver (SI) futures surpassing $32 by March 31, 2025, reflecting caution amid a recent pullback from September peaks above $32.50 on COMEX, now trading near $30.80 spot amid USD strength and fading safe-haven flows post-election volatility. Key drivers include industrial demand from solar panels and EVs, which accounts for 50%+ of consumption per Silver Institute data, versus headwinds from elevated Fed funds rates curbing investment buying. Watch upcoming catalysts: December FOMC dot plot on December 18 for rate cut signals boosting precious metals, January CPI release, and Lunar New Year demand spikes; a break above $31.50 resistance could flip sentiment bullish.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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