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政治·国土安全部

国土安全部关闭何时结束？

Market icon
政治·国土安全部

国土安全部关闭何时结束？

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

4月30日之后 57.0%

4月13日至16日 12.5%

4月21日至24日 11.8%

4月17日至20日 11.8%

Polymarket

$484,068 交易量

4月30日之后 57.0%

4月13日至16日 12.5%

4月21日至24日 11.8%

4月17日至20日 11.8%

Polymarket

$484,068 交易量

4月1日之前

$31,156 交易量

2%

4月1日至4日

$2,965 交易量

2%

4月5日至8日

$2,885 交易量

2%

4月9日至12日

$2,439 交易量

2%

4月13日至16日

$8,699 交易量

13%

4月17日至20日

$387,459 交易量

12%

4月21日至24日

$37,525 交易量

12%

4月25日至28日

$2,863 交易量

2%

4月29日至30日

$2,849 交易量

2%

4月30日之后

$5,228 交易量

57%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The trader consensus favors an extended DHS shutdown beyond April 30 (57%) due to entrenched partisan disagreements over appropriations, particularly Republican demands for enhanced Immigration and Customs Enforcement funding and border security measures that Democrats have blocked in repeated Senate procedural votes, including a 47-37 failure on March 20. Recent developments cement this positioning: the House passed multiple stopgap bills, including a 60-day measure on March 28, but Senate Democrats advanced only a partial deal funding most DHS components while excluding ICE reforms on March 27, leaving resolution uncertain amid spring break TSA disruptions and the longest partial shutdown at over 44 days. Mid-April outcomes (11-12%) reflect potential post-recess compromise, while early April odds below 3% signal no imminent deal ahead of congressional recesses.

The trader consensus favors an extended DHS shutdown beyond April 30 (57%) due to entrenched partisan disagreements over appropriations, particularly Republican demands for enhanced Immigration and Customs Enforcement funding and border security measures that Democrats have blocked in repeated Senate procedural votes, including a 47-37 failure on March 20. Recent developments cement this positioning: the House passed multiple stopgap bills, including a 60-day measure on March 28, but Senate Democrats advanced only a partial deal funding most DHS components while excluding ICE reforms on March 27, leaving resolution uncertain amid spring break TSA disruptions and the longest partial shutdown at over 44 days. Mid-April outcomes (11-12%) reflect potential post-recess compromise, while early April odds below 3% signal no imminent deal ahead of congressional recesses.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The trader consensus favors an extended DHS shutdown beyond April 30 (57%) due to entrenched partisan disagreements over appropriations, particularly Republican demands for enhanced Immigration and Customs Enforcement funding and border security measures that Democrats have blocked in repeated Senate procedural votes, including a 47-37 failure on March 20. Recent developments cement this positioning: the House passed multiple stopgap bills, including a 60-day measure on March 28, but Senate Democrats advanced only a partial deal funding most DHS components while excluding ICE reforms on March 27, leaving resolution uncertain amid spring break TSA disruptions and the longest partial shutdown at over 44 days. Mid-April outcomes (11-12%) reflect potential post-recess compromise, while early April odds below 3% signal no imminent deal ahead of congressional recesses.

The trader consensus favors an extended DHS shutdown beyond April 30 (57%) due to entrenched partisan disagreements over appropriations, particularly Republican demands for enhanced Immigration and Customs Enforcement funding and border security measures that Democrats have blocked in repeated Senate procedural votes, including a 47-37 failure on March 20. Recent developments cement this positioning: the House passed multiple stopgap bills, including a 60-day measure on March 28, but Senate Democrats advanced only a partial deal funding most DHS components while excluding ICE reforms on March 27, leaving resolution uncertain amid spring break TSA disruptions and the longest partial shutdown at over 44 days. Mid-April outcomes (11-12%) reflect potential post-recess compromise, while early April odds below 3% signal no imminent deal ahead of congressional recesses.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"国土安全部关闭何时结束？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"4月30日之后"，概率为 57%，其次是"4月13日至16日"，概率为 13%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 57¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 57%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"国土安全部关闭何时结束？"已产生 $484.1K 的总交易量（自Mar 26, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"国土安全部关闭何时结束？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"国土安全部关闭何时结束？"的当前领先者是"4月30日之后"，概率为 57%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 57%。紧随其后的结果是"4月13日至16日"，概率为 13%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"国土安全部关闭何时结束？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。