A partisan impasse in Congress over Department of Homeland Security appropriations, centered on disputes regarding ICE and CBP reforms alongside border security funding levels, has positioned "After April 30" as the leading outcome at 57% trader consensus. The partial shutdown, now the longest in U.S. history at over 44 days since mid-February, intensified after House Republicans passed a 60-day stopgap funding bill last week—only for it to stall amid Senate Democrats' objections and House rejection of bipartisan alternatives. Recent TSA pay directives from the White House have eased some worker strains but not resolved core disagreements, with spring break travel disruptions adding pressure yet no deal in sight. Mid-April windows (11-12%) reflect hopes for a continuing resolution, though historical patterns of prolonged lapses in election years bolster expectations for extended delays.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月30日之后 57.0%
4月13日至16日 12.5%
4月21日至24日 12.0%
4月17日至20日 11.8%
$484,699 交易量
$484,699 交易量
4月1日之前
1%
4月1日至4日
2%
4月5日至8日
2%
4月9日至12日
2%
4月13日至16日
13%
4月17日至20日
12%
4月21日至24日
12%
4月25日至28日
2%
4月29日至30日
1%
4月30日之后
57%
4月30日之后 57.0%
4月13日至16日 12.5%
4月21日至24日 12.0%
4月17日至20日 11.8%
$484,699 交易量
$484,699 交易量
4月1日之前
1%
4月1日至4日
2%
4月5日至8日
2%
4月9日至12日
2%
4月13日至16日
13%
4月17日至20日
12%
4月21日至24日
12%
4月25日至28日
2%
4月29日至30日
1%
4月30日之后
57%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A partisan impasse in Congress over Department of Homeland Security appropriations, centered on disputes regarding ICE and CBP reforms alongside border security funding levels, has positioned "After April 30" as the leading outcome at 57% trader consensus. The partial shutdown, now the longest in U.S. history at over 44 days since mid-February, intensified after House Republicans passed a 60-day stopgap funding bill last week—only for it to stall amid Senate Democrats' objections and House rejection of bipartisan alternatives. Recent TSA pay directives from the White House have eased some worker strains but not resolved core disagreements, with spring break travel disruptions adding pressure yet no deal in sight. Mid-April windows (11-12%) reflect hopes for a continuing resolution, though historical patterns of prolonged lapses in election years bolster expectations for extended delays.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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