House Republicans' late Friday passage of an eight-week continuing resolution fully funding DHS—including ICE and CBP—through May 22 has prolonged the 43-day partial shutdown, as the measure faces rejection from Senate Democrats on recess until mid-April. This follows the Senate's unanimous approval of a narrower bill funding TSA and FEMA but excluding immigration enforcement, rejected by the House amid disputes over border security priorities. President Trump's executive order ensuring TSA backpay has eased some travel disruptions but not resolved the impasse. Trader consensus reflects this deadlock, with probabilities clustered around mid-to-late April windows and beyond, hinging on post-recess negotiations or bipartisan compromise to avert the longest agency-specific funding lapse in history.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月30日之后 28.5%
4月13日至16日 24.9%
4月25日至28日 16.0%
4月1日至4日 10.6%
$56,165 交易量
$56,165 交易量
4月1日之前
3%
4月1日至4日
7%
4月5日至8日
1%
4月9日至12日
1%
4月13日至16日
25%
4月17日至20日
8%
4月21日至24日
3%
4月25日至28日
16%
4月29日至30日
9%
4月30日之后
29%
4月30日之后 28.5%
4月13日至16日 24.9%
4月25日至28日 16.0%
4月1日至4日 10.6%
$56,165 交易量
$56,165 交易量
4月1日之前
3%
4月1日至4日
7%
4月5日至8日
1%
4月9日至12日
1%
4月13日至16日
25%
4月17日至20日
8%
4月21日至24日
3%
4月25日至28日
16%
4月29日至30日
9%
4月30日之后
29%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...House Republicans' late Friday passage of an eight-week continuing resolution fully funding DHS—including ICE and CBP—through May 22 has prolonged the 43-day partial shutdown, as the measure faces rejection from Senate Democrats on recess until mid-April. This follows the Senate's unanimous approval of a narrower bill funding TSA and FEMA but excluding immigration enforcement, rejected by the House amid disputes over border security priorities. President Trump's executive order ensuring TSA backpay has eased some travel disruptions but not resolved the impasse. Trader consensus reflects this deadlock, with probabilities clustered around mid-to-late April windows and beyond, hinging on post-recess negotiations or bipartisan compromise to avert the longest agency-specific funding lapse in history.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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